


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
004 FXZS60 NSTU 250102 CCA AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 202 PM SST Sun Aug 24 2025 .DISCUSSION... Partly cloudy skies with a slight chance of showers have been observed throughout the day. The most noticeable feature is the high humidity felt across the islands. Daily high temperatures have remained in the mid 80 degrees with relative humidity climbing above 70% resulting in heat indices rising to near 100 degrees in the afternoon hours. The moderate to fresh east breeze may cool down conditions from time to time as it will likely remain throughout the week, but will not lower the humidity. However, model data is showing a mid- level high pressure system anchoring over the area throughout the forecast period. This synoptic feature will dominate weather patterns for the week as it suppresses any major convective cloud growth. Thus, keeping the high temperatures and humid conditions over the area for the week. Also, any expected showers may be brief and heavy at times, and occur mainly from low-level clouds embedded within the east wind flow and enhanced by topography. Therefore, expect isolated to scattered showers with moderate to fresh breeze and humid conditions to remain for this forecast period. && .Marine... The threat of high seas and surfs, and strong rip currents remains for coastal waters of American Samoa. Manual observations of seas continue to show rough and choppy conditions in the last couple of hours. Data from the PacIOOS buoys (Aunu`u and King- Poloa) together with ASCAT satellite altimetry swaths supports these observations. At the Aunu`u buoy, heights of 8 to 10 feet with short periods around 7 to 9 seconds indicate wind-driven waves, as easterlies remain at a moderate to fresh breeze. At the King- Poloa buoy, heights of 6 to 8 feet are evident with periods around 14 and 15 seconds long, indicating much higher surfs and strong rip currents at the west facing shores. Although heights are much less to the west coast of Tutuila island, the long periods will likely enhance the surfs and generate strong rip currents as waves get closer to shore. Model data is showing these conditions remaining over the coastal waters through at least midweek. However, if winds will maintain its moderate to fresh strength throughout the week, it is likely that seas will remain rough for this forecast period. Will continue to monitor conditions as the week progresses and issue or extend alerts if warranted. In the meantime, advisories for small crafts and high surfs will remain in effect. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Surf Advisory Small Craft Advisory && $$ JTAllen