


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
520 FXZS60 NSTU 190033 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 133 PM SST Mon Aug 18 2025 .Discussion... Latest satellite data shows fair weather over the region as dry and stable air moves in from the east. East to southeast winds of 15 to 20 mph will continue to usher in these stable conditions as a mid-level high pressure system remains anchored through midweek. Expect isolated to scattered showers for this timeframe, especially as Total Precipitable Water (TPW) trends show a drier than normal pattern. Another high pressure system building near New Zealand will continue these sustain this breezy pattern through Friday. However, by late Friday morning, a weak trough to the northeast is expected to move over the territory, bringing an increase in showers. While periods of heavy rainfall are possible at times, the trough appears disorganized, so the overall potential for flash flooding this weekend remains low. && .Marine... Observations from the PacIOOS buoys indicate seas of 7 to 8 feet, driven by breezy winds. Rough ocean conditions are expected to continue through the week, and the Small Craft Advisory will likely remain in effect unity winds ease by Friday. .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Small Craft Advisory && $$ TM