Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 300058
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pago Pago  AS
158 PM SST Sat Aug 29 2026

.Discussion...
Latest satellite data depicts fair weather across the region as
the ridge mentioned in yesterday`s discussion continues to
dominate our area. However, as the Samoa Island chain remains
along the back end of the ridge, we will continue to experience a
slight drop in winds (from 15 to 25 mph seen yesterday to 10 to
20 mph seen today) through Sunday. Meanwhile, another high
pressure system building near New Zealand is expected to
strengthen as it moves east.

The transition between the latter high pressure and current ridge
will bring east winds of 10 to 20 mph and isolated to scattered
showers through Sunday. As the latter high pressure system extends
over the territory on Monday, expect winds to shift southeast.
Converging east and southeast winds may lead to an uptick in
showers Monday and Monday night. When the new high pressure
system fully takes over on Tuesday, a breezy southeast wind
pattern will persist through the end of the new week.

&&
.Marine...
Wave heights around 10 feet remain for coastal waters due to the
prolonged trade wind event mentioned in the previous forecast
discussion. Although seas are expected to gradually subside
today as winds have fallen below 20 knots, observed waves are
still well above advisory thresholds. Hence, the High Surf
Advisory and Small Craft Advisory remain in effect.

Model guidance depicts wave heights dropping to 6 feet by Sunday
night. However, observed wave heights have been 1 to 2 feet above
forecast values for the past few days. Therefore, we expect seas
to remain elevated into the new week, especially as winds are
expected to pick up again Monday.

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory
Small Craft Advisory

&&

$$