195
FXUS65 KPIH 051945
AFDPIH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
145 PM MDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warming trend begins and continues through the weekend with a
  return to the 90s for some.

- Generally dry aside from isolated to scattered showers/storms
  across the central mountains through the evening. The region
  will then remain dry until at least Tuesday.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Thu Jun 5 2025

If you remember yesterday`s forecast, you`ve got some spoilers for
today`s. Still in the grip of troughing, another weak shortwave
passes through Eastern Idaho today bringing a few more showers and
isolated storms to the Central Mountains this afternoon. They are
already showing up on radar this afternoon, though no lightning just
yet. Elsewhere, expect dry conditions to continue both today and the
next few days as high pressure ridging moves into the area. This
will help out our warming trend and expect highs to warm about 5
degrees each afternoon. That means more of us will be in the mid to
upper 70s in the Snake River Plain and eastern magic Valley today,
right about average for this time of the year, and some will push
back into the low 80s tomorrow. This begins the "above normal"
temperatures many of us will be experiencing through the weekend.
Winds today and tomorrow generally stay light with afternoon gusts
around 15 to 20 mph.


&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Trends are still going with dry conditions until later
Monday, but even then it looks like a lower chance of showers/storms
and mainly up north. We are still looking a slow moving, compact
area of low pressure to impact us more starting Tuesday. One
interesting trend though is our Blend of Models are slower with
warming things up into the first part of next week. The current
forecast highs through Monday are now on the "low end of the range"
when it comes to potential temperature forecasts. It MAY be because
the pattern is a bit slower to shift east over the state, even
though we are expecting less clouds and precipitation Monday. We are
still talking lower valleys hitting low 90s Monday. It will be
interesting to see if the trend continues, but we wouldn`t be
surprised if the slightly warmer temperatures we`ve been predicting
over the past few days end up being the right way to go. Stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1126 AM MDT Thu Jun 5 2025

VFR conditions expected through the period. Light and variable winds
this morning should remain as such throughout much of the day. KSUN
will see their usual upvalley/downvalley flow regime but the rest of
the area will generally be light and variable. Expecting a bit more
clouds today but these will be mid/high clouds keeping CIGs quite
high. Models do show a few showers potentially developing across the
central mountains which could impact KSUN but chances look too low
for any VCSH mention at this time. Same can be said for KIDA. We
did keep the mention of VCSH at DIJ for continuity, but chances
there aren`t too great. High pressure settles over the area
during the overnight and into the day Friday allowing for a
prolonged period of VFR to be expected Friday and throughout the
weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 108 AM MDT Thu Jun 5 2025

A mostly dry pattern remains in the forecast for much of the
upcoming week. Seeing some isolated to scattered showers/storms
today into the Central Mountains but high pressure will settle
over the area Friday and continue in place through the weekend
and into early next week keeping temperatures warm and precip
chances basically non-existent. Things cool down slightly for
the middle part of next week as the ridge breaks down bringing
some clouds and precipitation back in to the forecast.

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AMM
LONG TERM...Keyes
AVIATION...Keyes
FIRE WEATHER...McKaughan