Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID
154 FXUS65 KPIH 052035 AFDPIH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pocatello ID 135 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025 .SHORT TERM...Rest of Today through Thursday Night. The cold front is through eastern Idaho and so is most of the precipitation. However, the wind remains and we are still seeing widespread wind gusts of 45 to 65 mph, so Wind Advisory remains in place for parts of the eastern Magic Valley, Snake River Plain, and Teton Valley until 8 PM this evening. The more organized push of moisture came through with the cold front this morning, but we continue to so see some showery activity on radar this afternoon in parts of the South Hills, Central Mountains, and Eastern Highlands. It`s no surprise we`re a bit cooler behind the front this afternoon. So, highs won`t be in the 50s today, but we`ll still remain a bit above "normal" for this time of the year with highs ranging from the upper 30s in the upper Snake River Plain to low and mid 40s in the eastern Magic Valley and lower Snake River Plain. This lull in activity will be short-lived with some light snow showers continuing on and off overnight up in the Sawtooths, but the rest of us will be mostly dry tonight and through at least the first half of Thursday. As a low moves onshore in the PNW late Thursday into Friday it will bring more snow, wind, and rain back to the area. More on that below... AMM .LONG TERM...Friday through Wednesday. A fast moving, but potent storm impacts central and eastern Idaho on Friday. We should see mostly snow Friday morning, with a rain/snow mix for any lingering precipitation later Friday below mainly 6000ft. We are also looking for another breezy day, with some blowing/drifting expected at higher elevations. Warmer temperatures though in previous days and on Friday should help mitigate that a bit. The latest snowfall forecast 3" or less up and down most of the Snake Plain and Magic Valley. Similar conditions are forecast for the valleys south of the Snake Plain and Magic Valley, as well as the Challis, Pahsimeroi and Lost River Valleys. 3-6" is possible across the Shoshone Lava Beds and Craters and valleys of the eastern and southeast highlands. Higher valley and mountain snow totals generally are 6-12" with locally higher amounts. We MAY need headlines for portions of the eastern highlands, Bear River Range, Wood River Valley, and the Sawtooths/surrounding mountains. We will likely see some more fluctuations with those totals in the next 24 hours. With overall low pressure developing and us sitting in solid northwest flow, expect a return to colder temperatures for the weekend and beyond. Highs will struggle to get above freezing. There is a low to moderate chance of getting above 32 during that stretch from Pocatello westward and south toward the Utah border. Keyes && .AVIATION...18Z Wednesday to 18Z Thursday. Showers continue to dwindle this afternoon, although some will remain around Driggs and in the central mountains overnight. The bigger story is the stronger winds that will last through early evening. Gusts at PIH, IDA, BYI, and to some extent at DIJ will remain 35-45kts until then before rapidly dropping off. While we expect some scattered to broken mid and lower clouds, we are NOT expecting any issues with MVFR/IFR conditions at the moment. The chance for precipitation becomes more widespread late Thursday afternoon onward. Keyes && .PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 8 PM MST this evening for IDZ052>057-065. && $$