333
FNUS71 KPHI 040943
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Long Pond Barrens Rx Fire...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
543 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain anchored offshore through early
Thursday before a cold front approaches the area later on
Thursday. As a result, conditions will remain dry through most of
the day Thursday. Winds will generally be out of the southwest
around 10 mph through much of this period. Minimum RHs each day
will fall into the 45-55 percent range.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (44400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 62 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  25  16  20  13  12  12  7   5   11  6   18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  58  62  67  70  72  75  77  78  80  79  79
RH..............80  75  70  63  61  61  60  56  56  52  54  54
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.9   10  12  12  14  15  16  17  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  13  13  12  12  12  10  13  12  14
ADI.............5   10  10  12  18  22  30  37  39  51  50  62
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   2   8   12  15  20  26  28  36  36  44
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 14 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 13 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (34700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................50 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      8      6      14     18     42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............77     72     66     63     61     60
RH..............58     68     78     84     87     90
20 ft wind......S 8    S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   W 5
20 ft wind gust.17     14     14     13     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   600    300    200    100    BLW100
Transport wind..S 14   S 12   SW 13  SW 13  W 13   W 12
ADI.............50     5      6      6      6      8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35     6      4      2      1      0
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph increasing to around 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................0 to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........58        51        60        64
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         20
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         20
Temp............60        71        79        81
RH..............90        71        56        53
20 FT wind......W 3G9     W 3G10    SW 7G13   SW 8G16
Mix hgt (ft)....100       800       2600      4400
Transport wind..W 10      W 7       SW 7      SW 10
ADI.............5         4         0         0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         5         15        40
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...AKL
Requested by...Stephen Ruswick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515283.0/PHI
.DELDT 06/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org,david.cavanaugh@tnc.org,stephen.ruswick@tnc.org