Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
887
FNUS71 KPHI 200902
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for Packerton Junction Fire...DCNR
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
502 AM EDT Sun Apr 20 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
For today, Min RH values will be around 20-30% and winds could
gust up to 25 mph at and near the burn site, but will be
persistent out of the Northwest through out the day. A wind shift
to easterly winds is expected late Sunday night into Monday
morning.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 28 mph decreasing to 16 to 17 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (48900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (65100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................68 to 87.
Eye level winds.....North winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
early in the morning.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45 46 42 41 40 41 39 38 36 29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............51 51 53 55 58 59 61 62 62 62
RH..............54 50 44 41 36 33 29 28 28 27
20 FT wind dir..NW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..14 15 15 14 14 13 12 10 9 8
20 FT wind gust.29 29 26 25 24 22 20 18 16 15
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW N N N N N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.8 9 9 8 8 8 7 6 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.17 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.26 28 28 25 24 22 21 20 17 16
ADI.............68 73 80 78 78 74 73 87 78 72
Vrate kt-ft/1K..49 53 60 61 63 62 65 63 56 52
Ventrate Cat....FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Wind shift..........Gradual wind shift from northerly to easterly
after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
early in the morning.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 14 mph shifting to the east 8 to 9
mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................60 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
the night.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
northeast around 3 mph in the late evening and
overnight, then becoming light after 3 am
becoming east around 3 mph early in the
morning.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41 37 56 59 63 61 50 54 61 68 75 79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............61 59 55 52 50 47 46 45 44 44 43 43
RH..............29 32 37 41 44 49 51 51 53 51 51 51
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N NE NE NE E E E
20 FT wind spd..8 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5
20 FT wind gust.13 10 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
Eye lvl wnd dir.N N N N N N NE NE NE E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N NE E E E E
Transp wind spd.14 12 8 9 8 8 7 8 8 8 9 9
ADI.............60 5 5 6 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43 21 6 6 4 4 3 4 4 4 5 5
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind shift..........Gradual wind shift from easterly to southerly
through out the day.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph with
gusts to around 22 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 13 mph shifting to the south 14 to 21
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (53300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 66 in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 4 mph increasing to south
up to 6 mph with gusts to around 13 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83 83 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............43 44 47 50 52 53 55 57 59 60 61 61
RH..............53 53 49 48 46 46 47 45 44 44 42 42
20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT wind spd..5 6 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.9 10 14 15 17 18 20 21 22 22 22 22
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 4 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6
Transp wind dir.E E E SE SE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 9 13 13 14 15 18 20 21 21 21 21
ADI.............5 10 21 24 33 40 54 60 66 64 63 61
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 5 14 16 23 27 41 47 53 51 49 47
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR
$$
Forecaster...Johnson
Requested by...Scott Miller
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2511078.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL FD18@pa.gov