814
FNUS71 KPHI 261016
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for TCB units 45 and 6...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
616 AM EDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on August 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure remains in control Wednesday. On Thursday, a warm
front lifts north through the region, bringing a chance for periods
of heavy rain and thunderstorms. This will be followed closely by a
cold front crossing the area Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (51700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  10  23  26  39  42  42  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  73  76  77  77  79  77  77
RH..............81  71  64  62  62  58  60  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.    3   5   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.9 3.9 4.6 5.2 5.7 5.3 4.5
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   SW  W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   7   8   10  10  9
ADI.............9   17  28  40  52  73  68  52
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   12  19  28  37  52  48  36
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................2 to 23 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........40        53        62        34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         10
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
Temp............76        67        64        63
RH..............64        84        87        90
20 FT wind......S 3G6     S 1       S 1G2     S 2G5
Mix hgt (ft)....2200      400       400       500
Transport wind..SW 8      S 5       S 7       S 7
ADI.............23        M         M         M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15        2         3         3
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
                    then showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent early in
                    the morning, then increasing to 60 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 40 percent late in
                    the morning increasing to 50 percent increasing
                    to 70 percent late in the afternoon increasing
                    to 80 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........56           88           65
Weather cov.....S CHC        LIKELY       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC        S CHC        CHANCE
CWR.............20           60           50
Chc of pcpn (%).20           60           50
Temp............62           70           78
RH..............97           93           79
20 FT wind......S 2G7        S 6G14       S 8G17
Mix hgt (ft)....600          1300         2000
Transport wind..S 8          S 10         S 13
ADI.............M            M            M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4            12           22
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         POOR

$$
Forecaster...MJL
Requested by...Patrick McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2620551.0/PHI
.DELDT 08/26/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org