836
FNUS71 KPHI 081055
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Bethany Run...NJFFS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
555 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Sunny and dry today with a gusty west to northwest flow developing.
MinRH values will range from 25 to 35 percent during the day along
with west to northwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 mph with 25 to
30 mph gusts. With a lack of rain over the last month or so, very
dry fuels are in place. The combination of these dry fuels, along
with the gusty winds and low humidity values result in a Red Flag
Warning in place for the whole forecast area.

For Saturday, a very dry air mass will be in place with dew points
down into the upper teens to lower 20s. Daytime minimum relative
humidity values are forecast to be in the 20-30 percent range.
Northerly winds 10-15 mph should diminish some during the afternoon.
Although the winds are lighter compared to Friday, the conditions
continue to be very dry and thus an elevated risk for fire spread
remains.

Showers are forecast to result in a wetting rain (0.25-0.50 inches
currently forecast) later Sunday, especially at night, into Monday
morning.

Continue to follow burn restrictions and check with your state
and local fire officials for more information.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 26 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph increasing to 18 to 26 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (93000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 74 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west up to 8 mph with
                    gusts to around 16 mph early in the morning.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   3   3   2   2   1   2   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  50  56  62  65  67  68  69  69  68  65
RH..............86  66  51  38  33  28  27  25  25  25  29
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   8   10  13  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.6   8   12  15  18  23  25  26  26  26  24
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   3   4   5   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   5   7   9   11  14  15  16  16  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.1 1.6
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   10  13  15  18  21  23  26  24  20
ADI.............7   8   18  31  43  57  51  62  74  59  33
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   4   12  21  32  46  58  75  93  65  27
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........59 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    north around 8 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (9800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................12 to 24.
Eye level winds.....North winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the around 5
                    mph early in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   2   2   2   2   3   4   3   3   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  59  57  55  54  51  50  48  46  44  43  41
RH..............32  36  40  45  48  52  52  54  53  55  53  55
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.23  21  22  22  23  22  21  18  17  16  16  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.14  13  13  13  14  13  13  11  10  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  20  21  22  22  21  22  23  22  20  18  20
ADI.............22  22  19  20  24  19  20  15  15  13  12  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..26  27  17  22  29  18  19  23  19  15  11  10
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 12 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (49100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 60 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 8 mph becoming light.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   4   4   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  41  44  46  49  50  52  54  54  54  54  51
RH..............55  59  51  45  39  36  31  27  26  26  25  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   7   9   12  13  13  12  9   8   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  15  15  14  14  12  10  9   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   4   5   7   8   8   7   5   5   4   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   8   8   9   9   8   8   7   6   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.1 2.6 1.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  17  20  20  18  16  15  14  14  13  12  10
ADI.............13  35  56  60  60  53  50  48  60  49  38  24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  23  43  47  49  44  42  43  43  34  26  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...MPS
Requested by...Trevor Raynor
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426036.2/PHI
.DELDT 11/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trevor.raynor@dep.nj.gov