271
FNUS71 KPHI 040513
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Long Pond Barrens - Return...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
113 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will be in place across the Mid Atlantic region
through Monday, before weakening Monday night into Tuesday as high
pressure builds across northern New England and southeast Canada for
much of the upcoming week. The high will shift offshore of the
Canadian Maritimes Friday as a possible low pressure system or
surface trough possibly lifts northward along the eastern seaboard.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (28400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................6 to 37.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  82  81  83  83  69  69  68  68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............69  73  76  78  79  80  80  79  78
RH..............68  62  56  50  49  45  45  47  50
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   8   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.6 2.8 4.0 4.8 5.7 5.1 4.5 3.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............6   14  25  29  35  37  34  33  29
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   9   17  20  24  28  25  23  20
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................0 to 20.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  68  68  69  70  71  70  69  68  69  69  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  74  72  70  68  66  65  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............55  62  68  72  74  75  76  77  78  80  82  84
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   8   7   6   5   5   6   6
ADI.............20  3   3   3   3   4   3   3   2   1   1   0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  7   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (33300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................0.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........75        75        63        76
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         20
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         20
Temp............61        66        73        75
RH..............84        77        64        59
20 FT wind......E 2G8     E 5G9     E 6G12    SE 6G13
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    900       3400      4600
Transport wind..E 6       E 8       E 9       SE 8
ADI.............0         0         0         0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0         6         26        31
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Patrick McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519179.0/PHI
.DELDT 08/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org