Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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872
FNUS71 KPHI 072130
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for TA Pink...Silvix
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
530 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A front remains south and east of our area through this afternoon as
a few weak areas of low pressure track along it through tonight. A
strong secondary cold front will then cross our area tonight as low
pressure strengthens across New England. High pressure builds in
Wednesday before shifting offshore Wednesday night. Low pressure
then arrives Thursday and Friday. This new low could linger near the
area through much of next weekend.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning, then patchy frost late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (91200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................43 early in the morning increasing to 115 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   4   4   5   6   8   10  12  14  18
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............30  33  37  40  43  46  48  49  50  50
RH..............51  43  37  33  29  28  27  28  28  30
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  15  16  16  16  15  15  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.1 4.0 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  17  17  16  16  16  16  16
ADI.............43  63  82  100 104 107 110 112 113 115
Vrate kt-ft/1K..29  44  59  75  79  83  86  88  90  91
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy frost
                    early in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 13 mph shifting to the south 8
                    to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (49000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................71 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22  28  31  32  32  34  41  51  60  67  72  76
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............49  47  45  43  41  40  39  38  37  37  37  37
RH..............33  37  41  47  55  59  62  67  70  72  72  75
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   7                   7   7       6       6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  9   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
ADI.............71  4   3   3   4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..49  19  2   2   3   4   4   3   3   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain early in the morning. Chance of rain late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (93600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................0 early in the morning increasing to 72 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  83  84  81  78  75  75  76  78  80  81  82
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
Temp............38  40  42  45  48  51  54  55  56  56  55  54
RH..............76  73  70  65  58  54  48  47  45  43  45  48
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.7   9   12  15  18  21  23  24  24  24  23  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  13  14  16  20  22  23  24  25  25  25  25
ADI.............7   16  22  42  59  57  62  67  72  48  24  0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   10  15  29  47  68  76  85  94  85  77  68
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...MJL
Requested by...shannon henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2509106.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shannon@silvixforestry.com