Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
427
FNUS71 KPHI 030932
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for RT 46 Fire...NJFFS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
532 AM EDT Sat May 3 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0627 EDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Warm temperatures persist through today. A cold front will
gradually work its way into the region tonight and stall across
the region Sunday. Several waves of low pressure will be around
the region through Tuesday bringing a prolonged period of
unsettled weather. The complex system will gradually move out of
the region Tuesday night and Wednesday. A cold front will then
settle southward into the region Thursday into Friday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous
showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent in the morning increasing to 70
percent in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph with
gusts to around 22 mph in the late morning and
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph increasing to southwest 16 to
25 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (116700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 107 in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest up to 6 mph with
gusts to around 13 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44 51 46 42 52 51 62 68 74 76 74 78
Weather cov..... ISO ISO SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 40 70 60 60
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 40 70 60 60
Temp............60 61 64 67 71 74 76 79 79 78 75 76
RH..............87 87 81 76 68 62 58 52 50 52 60 58
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 3 2 3 5 7 8 9 10 10 10 8
20 FT wind gust.6 8 8 10 10 15 18 20 22 21 20 17
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 2 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 5 5 6 6 9 11 12 13 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.8 4.6 5.3 4.3 3.3 2.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.5 6 10 9 12 16 21 24 25 24 18 18
ADI.............2 6 10 14 26 50 75 96 107 93 63 57
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 6 10 17 34 68 97 117 90 53 45
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD VGD GD FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
numerous thunderstorms in the evening, then
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
overnight.
CWR.................80 percent in the evening decreasing to 10
percent late at night.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the
southeast in the late evening and overnight.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 15 mph shifting to the east late
at night.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28000 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1600 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................5 to 41.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 4 mph shifting to the
southeast around 3 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72 81 92 94 95 98 97 97 96 96 96 96
Weather cov.....DEF DEF NUM DEF DEF NUM CHC CHC SCT ISO ISO
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO NUM NUM NUM SCT ISO ISO
CWR.............80 80 70 80 80 60 40 30 40 20 20 10
Chc of pcpn (%).80 80 70 80 80 60 40 30 40 20 20 10
Temp............74 71 68 66 65 63 63 63 62 62 61 61
RH..............59 68 78 81 84 90 90 90 90 90 93 93
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..7 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT wind gust.15 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 9 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.9 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW S SW W NE E S SE S S S
Transp wind spd.15 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 10 9
ADI.............41 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning, then showers and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing early in the morning,
increasing to 100 percent in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (24300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................7 to 36.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95 95 94 92 94 95 93 92 92 93 93 94
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 20 50 50 50 80 80 80 100 100 100 90
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 50 50 50 80 80 80 100 100 100 90
Temp............61 61 63 64 65 66 67 68 68 68 68 68
RH..............93 93 87 87 84 81 75 76 76 76 76 76
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 12 8 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 13
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 10 12 13 14 15 14 14 13 14 15 16
ADI.............7 8 12 20 23 28 24 22 20 25 30 36
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 5 9 13 16 19 16 15 14 17 20 24
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Christopher Franek
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2512697.2/PHI
.DELDT 05/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL njffaimt@gmail.com,eric.weber@dep.nj.gov