473
FXUS61 KPHI 232348
AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
748 PM EDT Sun Aug 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated Aviation section for the 00Z TAFs.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A drier airmass spreads into the region into tonight.

2. Fair weather is expected to return Monday and should persist
into the middle of the upcoming week.

3. More unsettled to end the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A drier airmass spreads into the region into
tonight.

In the wake of a cold front that is passing offshore this
afternoon, a drier airmass continues to spread into the region
with surface dewpoints dropping from the upper 60s to around 70
to the low 60. A few showers have developed late this afternoon,
and this activity will diminish into the evening hours.


KEY MESSAGE 2...Fair weather is expected to return Monday and
should persist into the middle of the upcoming week.

More zonal flow with some subtle ridging moves in for the first
half of the week. At the surface, high pressure will mainly be
in control, resulting in dry and tranquil weather through
Wednesday. Temperatures should be seasonable through this
stretch.

KEY MESSAGE 3...More unsettled to end the week.

By Thursday and Friday, high pressure moves offshore with
southerly return flow, helping bring dew points back into the
low-70s. Broad upper level troughing will allow a surface low to
make its way into the region, bringing our next chance for
precipitation. Still a bit far out for specifics at this time,
however.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR. Winds 5 kts or less favoring a southwest
direction. High confidence.

Monday...VFR. W to WSW winds around 10 kts gusts up to 15-20
kts. Winds shifting more north of west toward 00Z. High
confidence.

Outlook...

Monday through Wednesday...VFR expected most of the time.

Thursday...Showers and thunderstorms likely developing late,
otherwise prevailing VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
No marine hazards expected.

Outlook...

Monday night through Wednesday...No marine hazards expected.
Fair weather expected.

Rip Currents...

On Monday, southwest winds will average 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 20 mph in the afternoon with breaking waves of 1 to 2
feet. There will be light southerly swells with a period of 6 to
8 seconds. As a result, there is a LOW risk for the development
of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at the Jersey
Shore and at Delaware Beaches.

On Tuesday, winds will shift more westerly with similar seas and
surf conditions as Monday expected. As a result, there is a LOW
risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip
currents at the Jersey Shore and at Delaware Beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJL/MPS/Staarmann
AVIATION...MJL/MPS/Staarmann
MARINE...MJL/MPS/Staarmann