


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
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150 FXUS61 KPHI 082240 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 640 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure initially centered over portions of the Mid- Atlantic and New England will shift slowly eastward through the weekend and into the early part of next week. Tranquil weather conditions are expected. By mid-week, the high should weaken and shift farther offshore, allowing for a slightly more unsettled pattern to take shape. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Even as high pressure slowly slides eastward, it will continue to be the dominating influence on our weather conditions through the near term forecast period. Any lingering diurnal cumulus will dissipate after sunset resulting in mostly clear skies overnight. Winds will decrease and back slightly to the north-northeast as a result of the shifting high. Lows will fall mainly into the mid 50s to low 60s thanks to the ideal radiational cooling conditions. Heading into Saturday, more tranquil conditions are expected across the area. Inland areas will see mostly clear skies with winds around 5-10 mph and high temperatures mainly in the low 80s. Along the coasts of New Jersey and Delaware, some cloud coverage may redevelop as a result of the continuing onshore east- northeasterly flow. Winds along the coast may also be a bit stronger with a few gusts of 15-20 mph possible. Temps will be a few degrees cooler here as well, mainly in the upper 70s. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... With lightening winds and mostly clear skies Saturday night, temperatures will quickly clear during the overnight hours, with lows generally in the mid 50s to near 60. On Sunday and Monday, with the high pressure centered more on our area, lighter winds and a bit of a warm up are anticipated. Under plentiful sunshine, highs are expected to generally be in the low-mid 80s, though the urban corridor will see temperatures in the upper 80s to around 90. Without significant moistening, it should still be a fairly pleasant day overall. Lows Sunday night and Monday night should also be a little bit warmer, in the low-mid 60s for most areas. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Significant ridging aloft will begin to break down some Tuesday through Friday. At the surface, high pressure originally centered over the area will gradually broaden and weaken, potentially allowing for a slightly more unsettled pattern to take shape towards the end of the extended period. Temperatures will be on a continued warming trend through the period, with highs ranging from the mid 80s to near 90 on Tuesday, and potentially climbing to between 90 and 95 by Wednesday and Thursday, before backing off to the 80s on Friday. Overnight lows will be steadily warming as well, potentially into the low- mid 70s by Wednesday night and Thursday night. Moisture will be on the increase also, with dewpoints in the 70 to 75 range by mid- week. While the pattern does not look to be favorable for widespread thunderstorms, there will be widely scattered afternoon and evening convection across parts of the area Wednesday into Friday. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. Tonight...Prevailing VFR with decreasing clouds. Winds expected to decrease and could go light and variable for a period, though the prevailing direction should be northerly or north northeasterly. High confidence. Saturday...VFR conditions with mainly clear skies except at KACY where FEW-SCT clouds are possible. East-northeasterly winds around 5-10 knots with a few gusts up to around 15 knots possible at KACY. High confidence. Outlook... Sunday through Wednesday...No significant weather expected. && .MARINE... The Small Craft Advisory from Little Egg Inlet to Fenwick Island has been extended through 8 AM Saturday. No marine headlines are in effect elsewhere. Seas will be continuing to lower through the period but look to remain around 5 feet near and south of Little Egg Inlet through the overnight hours, resulting in the extension of the current SCA. Otherwise, east-northeast winds around 10-15 kt are expected to continue through Saturday with occasional gusts up to 20 kt possible south of Little Egg Inlet. Fair weather. Outlook... Sunday through Wednesday...No marine headlines are anticipated, with winds remaining below 25 kts and seas remaining below 5 ft. Rip Currents... For Saturday, the onshore flow continues despite winds and waves coming down slightly compared to Friday. However, given that we also have the full moon tomorrow, a HIGH risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents is likely. A Rip Current Statement has been issued for all of the Jersey Shore and Delaware Beaches. For Sunday, the onshore flow continues with wave heights up to 3 feet. The period is around 7-8 and we are still close to the full moon which happens Saturday. Right now, the risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents has been put as MODERATE but a potential for a HIGH risk day is possible with a future update. For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...High Risk for Rip Currents through Saturday evening for NJZ014- 024>026. DE...High Risk for Rip Currents through Saturday evening for DEZ004. MD...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ452>455. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Cooper NEAR TERM...AKL/Fitzsimmons SHORT TERM...Cooper/Franklin LONG TERM...Cooper/Franklin AVIATION...AKL/Fitzsimmons/Franklin MARINE...AKL/Franklin/Guzzo