Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
863 FXUS66 KPDT 121749 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 1049 AM PDT Fri Jun 12 2026 .Updated Aviation Discussion. .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and warm trend continues through at least the Monday/Tuesday time frame. - Breezy winds develop locally through the weekend. - Elevated fire weather conditions expected with dry and breezy to locally windy conditions. && .DISCUSSION... The area is still situated between a ridge in the Pacific and a trough in the midwest and northern Great Plains. The ridge will continue to amplify through the weekend. At the same time, a shortwave (with good agreement with guidance) will briefly enter the region, forming tighter pressure gradients and deliver locally breezy winds through the region. This combined with the dry air associated with minimum relative humidities in the 20s and teens will bring elevated fire level concerns in isolated areas. Guidance remains in agreement that the ridge will break down by the Monday/Tuesday timeframe (>90% confidence) and develop breezy to locally windy conditions, bringing gusts up to 40 knots across the lower elevated areas that include the Columbia Basin and the Kittitas Valley (50-70% confidence). This will bring widespread RFW conditions across that same region with minimum RH`s in the teens prevailing. Temperatures by Tuesday will need to be monitored with the ridge moving onshore that will bring chances of areas reaching 100 degrees. Current NBM guidance advertises 10-20% chances that parts of the Lower Columbia Basin will reach or exceed 100 degrees, however this has down trended when it was closer to a 50% chance around 24 hours ago. Heat Risk has dropped and down trended with values of only `2` showing being widespread across the lower elevations (it was showing `2.5` and `3` yesterday). There does seem a bit of tick of Major Heat Risk increasing across the Gorge, Yakima Valley, and parts of the Cascade region. Regardless, early next week is posed to be a very warm period across the region with extra pre-caution that needs to be taken for at least the most sensitive group to heat. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... VFR conditions currently across all sites, which will stay the course through the period. Wind gusts between 20-30kts are being experienced at KDLS, with wind gusts of 15-25kts expected later this afternoon for KPDT/KRDM/KBDN/KYKM. Winds will subside later the evening across all terminals under broken 25kft ceilings. 75 && .FIRE WEATHER... The dry and warm trend that will continue through at least early next week will pave way for elevated fire weather conditions to form. Minimum relative humidities will drop to the teens to lower 20s through the weekend, with mostly teens by early next week. Breezy conditions over the weekend will bring localized RFW criteria, with Tuesday and Wednesday bringing widespread RFW conditions across the lower elevated areas. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... PDT 80 48 84 49 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 80 53 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 84 53 88 56 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 85 53 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 84 51 87 54 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 78 49 82 53 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 82 44 83 47 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 77 45 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 82 43 83 45 / 0 0 0 0 DLS 84 56 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. OR...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...95 AVIATION...75 FIRE WEATHER...95