Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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765 FXUS66 KPDT 272257 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 357 PM PDT Sat Jun 27 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated thunderstorms along Oregon Cascades and eastern mountains this afternoon - Gusty winds developing in the Kittitas Valley Sunday afternoon - Below-normal temperatures, breezy to locally gusty west winds, and occasional mountain showers through the week && .DISCUSSION... Water vapor satellite imagery this afternoon shows the center of an upper low has come onshore, though regional radar imagery so far today has shown shower activity has mostly been focused outside of the forecast area. Shower activity across the Cascade crest/east slopes and across the eastern mountains will develop over the next couple hours as the low continues to push inland. Increasing surface instability and modest low to mid level lapse rates will also allow for a few showers to develop into isolated thunderstorms through this evening. Otherwise, breezy west to northwest winds have developed through the Cascade gaps into the Columbia Basin today. The upper closed low pushing into the PacNW today will start the prolonged trend of upper level troughing over the PacNW through most the next week. The upper low will track east across the region through Monday, with the main shower activity tied to a series of shortwaves rounding the low both days. That said, shower activity will mainly be confined to portions of the Cascades, Northern Blues, and Wallowas through this period, with best chances over the Wallowa mountains. Cluster ensemble guidance is in good agreement of shortwave troughs diving down the AK/BC coastlines and across the PacNW Tues/Wed and Thursday, which will bring another round of light mountain rain showers across the forecast area those days (confidence 55-75%). As mentioned earlier, breezy winds have developed in the lower elevations today, and are expected to persist through much of the week as the troughing pattern holds over the PacNW. The strongest winds of the week will develop tomorrow afternoon as a surface low develops in northern MT, resulting in a tightening cross-Cascade pressure gradient. Winds will generally be 15-30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph, however winds through the Kittitas valley are expected to increase to 25-35mph and gusts to around 50 mph tomorrow (confidence 75-85%). Otherwise, daily winds will be 15-25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph throughout the week. Lastly, the persistent trough pattern will keep temperatures much cooler than normal through the week, with afternoon temperatures generally 5 to 15 degrees below normal (confidence 60-75%). This means that afternoon temperatures in the lower elevations will be in the 70s, with locally 80s, throughout much of the week. In the mountains, mid-elevations will generally be in the upper 50s to 60s, with lower to mid 50s in the high- elevations. Lawhorn/82 && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/... Westerly winds will remain breezy across the region this forecast period. Most sites are seeing winds above 12 kts with gusts nearing 20-30kts. DLS/YKM are both also expecting some wind shear WS019/28035KT for DLS and WS020/31040KT for YKM. Lastly, BDN/RDM have a 30% chance or less of isolated vicinity thunderstorms after 00Z through 03Z. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... PDT 46 73 47 72 / 10 10 10 0 ALW 52 74 52 72 / 10 10 10 20 PSC 50 81 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 49 81 51 81 / 10 10 0 0 HRI 48 77 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 46 71 48 72 / 10 10 0 0 RDM 36 67 35 70 / 20 0 0 0 LGD 44 66 45 69 / 30 20 10 10 GCD 39 66 40 71 / 50 20 10 0 DLS 52 73 52 72 / 10 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 11 PM PDT Sunday for WAZ026. OR...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...82 AVIATION...90