Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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867 FXUS66 KPDT 080434 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 934 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Above normal temperatures and dry conditions continue through next week - Breezy to locally gusty gap winds Friday and Sunday - Low RHs and breezy winds will overlap the remainder of this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon in the Cascade gaps and Lower Columbia Basin && .DISCUSSION... Tonight through Sunday: Breezy Cascade gap winds continue this afternoon in the wake of a shortwave exit earlier this morning. Otherwise, high thin scattered decks of cirrus are also spreading across the region this afternoon. Upper level ridging will move over the forecast area this afternoon and tonight, continuing a drying trend with winds becoming light overnight. Friday, a shortwave will briefly flatten the ridge as it slides into the PacNW. Very little moisture will accompany the shortwave passage tomorrow, resulting in dry conditions continuing. However, a dry frontal boundary will follow the shortwave, resulting in increasing winds through the Cascade gaps and into the lower elevations of the forecast area. Winds will generally be 15-25mph with gusts up to 40mph, however winds will be 25-35 mph with gusts 45-55 mph in the Kittitas valley tomorrow afternoon (confidence 75-85%). Upper level ridging will rebound late Friday and prevail through Saturday night. While dry conditions will persist through the weekend, another shortwave will flatten the ridge for Sunday, resulting in another day of breezy to locally gusty winds in the afternoon and evening. Monday through Wednesday: There is good agreement amongst ensemble cluster solutions that upper level ridging will once again build back over the region, resulting in dry and warm conditions with light winds Monday (confidence 60-75%). Tuesday and Wednesday, agreement lowers quite a bit as about 50% of members favor a trough passing over the PacNW while the other about 50% favor ridging persisting overhead. The troughing solution (favored by ECWMF members) would bring light showers to the Cascade crest late Tuesday and Wednesday with breezy conditions and temperatures in the mid 70s to lower 80s in the lower elevations; the ridging solution (favored by GFS members) would continue a drying trend with temperatures warming into the upper 80s to lower 90s in the lower elevations. Lawhorn/82 && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Dry VFR conditions continue through the forecast period with no CIG or VIS issues expected. Main concern will be breezy winds that will sustained between 10-20 knots with gusts up to 20-30 knots, locally higher gusts is possible. DLS will prevail its breezy 15 to 35 knot winds through the forecast period, while the rest of sites will develop breezy conditions tomorrow morning through the afternoon hours, prevailing for most of the remaining forecast period thereafter. && .FIRE WEATHER... Afternoon relative humidities will remain low through next, with areas of central Oregon reaching single digits by Saturday. Gap and Basin winds will continue to be locally breezy through this afternoon, and will increase tomorrow as a dry front moves across with breezy to locally gusty westerly winds developing in the Basin and adjacent valleys and foothills. Poor to moderate recovery tonight, with moderate to good recovery through the weekend. && .HYDROLOGY... The Naches River near Naches is forecast to remain above action stage for the next week. Above-normal temperatures are forecast to continue, and significant precipitation is unlikely (90 percent confidence) for the next week. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... PDT 49 74 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 52 74 50 77 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 54 81 49 81 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 50 79 46 81 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 52 77 48 80 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 46 69 43 77 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 41 75 38 84 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 42 73 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 43 75 40 80 / 0 0 0 0 DLS 49 74 48 83 / 0 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Friday for WAZ026. OR...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...82 AVIATION...95 FIRE WEATHER...82 HYDROLOGY...86