Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pittsburgh, PA

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FNUS71 KPBZ 211408
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for SGL 039...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1008 AM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Morning relative humidities are generally expected to be around
the 80% range Tuesday morning which should prohibit widespread
fog, through some could not be ruled out on the Allegheny River to
the west, which may trickle into the Sandy Creek Valley slightly.
Clear skies and dry air aloft will make for a dry day, so we
manually adjusted down dew points. The most likely range during
the afternoon will be down to the mid 40s to upper 30s, with an
absolute floor of 30%. Humidity will generally be higher in the
more sheltered valley around South Sandy Creek, but lower towards
the hilltops. Skies are expected to remain clear, with a low
probability of a widely scattered cumulus deck. Recoveries into
the 80% to 90% range are most likely Tuesday night.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 9 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EDT)      1AM
Sky (%).........6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Chc of thdr (%).0
Temp............53
RH..............79
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..3
20 FT wind gust.7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.9
LVORI...........4
ADI.............4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 to 27.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........8   1   0   0   1   2   3   3   4   3   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  53  57  62  66  71  73  75  77  78  79  80
RH..............77  80  79  68  59  54  49  45  42  42  42  42
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.3 5.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  10  9   7   6   5   5   5   3   3
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............9   9   10  18  26  27  27  27  26  26  24  22

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 to 4.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........3   3   4   5   5   6   9   13  16  17  17  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  76  74  71  67  64  63  61  60  59  59  58
RH..............46  51  57  61  68  76  77  79  85  84  86  90
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
ADI.............1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south 7 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5 early in the morning.
ADI.................8 to 9 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........15  12  9   12  14  17  21  24  28  25  21  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  61  63  67  72  77  80  82  84  85  86  86
RH..............86  84  84  74  67  62  57  52  49  47  47  46
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.6 5.1 5.3 5.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   8   10  12
LVORI...........5   5   5   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............9   8   8   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...CM
Requested by...Shawn Perkins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518354.0/PBZ
.DELDT 07/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shperkins@pa.gov