681
FNUS71 KPBZ 120845
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for SGL 245 Craft Creek Unit 5...PA GAME COMMISSION
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
445 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and warm conditions continue through the weekend with high
pressure. Southeasterly to easterly winds will gust 10-15 mph this
afternoon, while RH values drop to around 35%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph shifting to the east
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 65 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4...or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   4   7   5   13  9   20  20  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  64  70  76  78  80  82  83  83  83
RH..............84  70  58  50  43  40  38  35  34  34
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   8   10  10  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.4 1.6 3.0 4.4 5.0 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   6   7   8   9   10  9   12  12
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............6   7   12  26  42  53  65  59  51  51
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 8.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........32  24  24  31  33  41  45  48  59  55  50  51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............81  77  73  69  67  65  63  61  60  58  57  56
RH..............39  44  52  59  64  68  73  78  81  82  87  90
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  13  12  12  11  10  8   8   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.13  12  13  13  13  10  10  9   9   9   9   8
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   6
ADI.............8   8   8   8   8   7   7   4   6   6   6   4
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 50 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........61  43  49  48  56  65  64  64  63  61  59  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  55  56  62  69  73  75  77  80  81  81  82
RH..............90  89  91  82  67  58  53  48  43  42  41  40
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  11  12  12  12  13  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   8   9   10  9   10  12  13  13  13
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   7   7   8   18  29  29  35  44  49  50  48
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...JR
Requested by...Josh Fuqua
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422297.0/PBZ
.DELDT 09/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jofuqua@pa.gov