730
FXUS61 KPBZ 070500
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
100 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes were made to the latest forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Showers/thunderstorms ending early this morning

2) Dry and warm to start, then daily shower/storm chances for
the upcoming week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue track SE across
the region through early morning ahead of an approaching surface
boundary/cold front. Most of the activity will be south of I-70
along a band of increased precipitable water, though some
isolated additions showers/storms are possible further north
along the boundary. This activity should exit the area by early
morning. Stratus is then expected to develop with low level
moisture in place. There could also be some light fog, though
it appears the stratus should help to keep dense fog from
developing for most of the area.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
There could be an isolated shower or storm south of I-68 today
as the front exits, otherwise high pressure will build in from
the north with dry weather expected. Ridging/rising 500 mb
heights are then progged to build across the Upper Ohio Valley
region through Monday, with dry weather and warmer temperatures.
The ridge should begin to break down Tuesday, with shower and
thunderstorm chances gradually returning from W-E as a shortwave
trough approaches. A series of shortwave troughs are then
expected to cross the Upper Ohio Valley region through late
week, with the strongest progged for a Wednesday passage. This
will keep periodic shower and thunderstorm chances in the
forecast. Heat and humidity are also expected to return early to
mid week, and continue through late week.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Showers and a few thunderstorms continue to track southeastward
across the area south of I-70. These should continue to exit the
region overnight. Additional showers along a weak cold front
could affect DUJ briefly, though it appears most of this
activity should stay east.

Otherwise, after some partial clearing, expect widespread IFR
stratus to develop overnight, with some fog as well. Conditions
should gradually improve through MVFR to VFR by Sunday afternoon
with mixing and dry advection behind the boundary.

Outlook...
VFR is expected Monday under high pressure. Daily thunderstorm
and restriction chances return Tuesday through Thursday with a
series of crossing shortwave troughs.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...WM
AVIATION...WM