Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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746
FNUS73 KPAH 121200
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Maintz RXB...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION
National Weather Service Paducah KY
700 AM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on August 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Smoke dispersion will be poor today due to light winds, even
though mixing heights will increase to a maximum of 5400 around 2
PM. Relative humidity will drop to a minimum of 50% in the early
afternoon. Chances of thunderstorms will increase in the late
afternoon. Mixing heights will not reach 1700` AGL until around
930 AM.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Temperature.........77 at ignition...Max 93.
RH..................88 percent at ignition...Min 50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /34600 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  30
Temp............77  80  85  88  91  93  93  93  93  92
RH..............88  82  70  66  58  50  52  52  52  56
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   6   5   5   6   6   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   6   6       7       8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.3 2.2 3.3 4.5 5.2 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   6   6   5   6   7   7   8   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   8   11  16  18  26  32  31  35  35
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the evening.
CWR.................37 percent decreasing to 0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 71.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    7 to 12 mph early in the evening, then shifting
                    to the north 5 to 6 mph late in the evening
                    shifting to the west 3 to 7 mph overnight
                    shifting to the northwest around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............30  40  40  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............91  86  81  79  77  76  76  74  73  73  72  71
RH..............56  68  79  85  90  94  90  97  97  97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  W   N   NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   SW  W   NW  NE  N   SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.9   7   12  7   5   6   3   5   7   6   7   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22  3   5   3   2   3   2   2   3   3   3   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 90.
RH..................Min 61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  71  74  77  80  83  85  86  87  88  88  87
RH..............100 100 97  90  82  74  70  65  63  61  61  63
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.8 3.7 4.5 5.2 5.4 4.8 3.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   4   6   8   14  18  22  26  30  29  19
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...SPAETH
Requested by...Anthony King
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519755.0/PAH
.DELDT 08/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Anthony.King@mdc.mo.gov