380
FNUS73 KPAH 251527
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Bike Trail Piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
927 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will be pushing through the region today providing
chances of rain showers through the afternoon. Otherwise it will
be cloudy much of the day. Minimum RH`s will be in the lower 70`s
percent. Winds from the southwest will shift toward the northwest
behind the front likely after noon. Clouds will clear out tonight
with dry conditions expected through Tuesday. Winds will remain
from the northwest through Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........64 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................78 percent at ignition...Min 71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 12 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise West winds around 10 mph
                    shifting to the northwest 10 to 12 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 20
                    to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /28600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /57800 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  64  64  62  62  59  57  54
RH..............78  78  78  78  72  72  72  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  10  10  12  14  15  15
20 FT wind gust.22  21  20  18  23  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  16  20  24  23  25
Haines index....3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..29  28  27  24  36  48  41  58
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 29.
RH..................Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph in the evening and overnight becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 24 mph decreasing to 12 to 14
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  48  46  44  42  40  39  38  36  34  32  31
RH..............74  77  73  76  76  76  73  70  72  72  75  75
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12  12  10  9   9   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.24  25  24  24  23  22  22  20  18  17  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.22  24  22  22  18  17  16  16  15  14  12  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17  39  11  14  10  8   7   7   7   6   5   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 49.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............31     33     39     45     49     47
RH..............72     69     52     41     36     40
20 FT wind dir..NW     NW     NW     NW     W      W
20 FT wind spd..6      6      5      5      3      2
20 FT wind gust.13     12     10     6             3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    1.0    1.6    1.8    1.9    1.4
Transp wind dir.NW     N      N      NW     W      SW
Transp wind spd.9      10     8      5      3      3
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4      9      11     7      5      4
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...DIEGAN
Requested by...Ben Schmall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427319.0/PAH
.DELDT 11/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin_schmall@fws.gov