Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FNUS73 KPAH 261337
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Area 13 piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
837 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Another hot and humid day, but afternoon RH`s might briefly fall
below 50 percent today. An isolated shower or storm can`t be ruled
out, mainly between 1 and 7 PM. Transport winds will be stronger
today out of the southwest, which combined with mixing above 5000
feet should allow decent smoke dispersion by this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........88 at ignition...Max 94.
RH..................66 percent at ignition...Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /32000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /55600 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  PC  MCR PC  MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............88  89  90  92  93  93  94  92
RH..............66  64  62  56  54  52  49  54
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  12  12  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.8 4.3 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.4 4.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  10  10  10  12  10  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  38  39  47  47  56  49  46
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 76.
RH..................Max 87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  PC  PC  MCR MCR PC  MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............92  89  87  84  82  81  81  80  79  78  78  77
RH..............54  59  63  70  74  77  74  77  79  82  82  85
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   3   3   2   3   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  10  9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   9   9   9   12  12  12  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  5   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 24 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 93.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (69000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20
Temp............76  78  80  84  88  90  91  92  93  93  92  91
RH..............87  85  82  72  66  60  56  54  52  51  52  54
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   10  10  12  13  14  15  16  16  15  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.3 1.6 2.6 3.5 4.4 5.3 4.9 4.7 4.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   SW  W   SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  15  14  15  15  14  14  16  16  15  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   6   17  20  34  46  54  64  69  66  56  38
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  FR  PR

$$
Forecaster...POULOS
Requested by...Ben Schmall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516729.0/PAH
.DELDT 06/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin_schmall@fws.gov