109
FNUS73 KPAH 181503
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for A13 Bunker Piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
903 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A snowstorm moves across the Quad State today through tonight,
with the highest totals projected to occur in Southeast Missouri.
Flurries to light snow linger Wednesday in the northern/eastern
areas. Between recent rains and the upcoming snow, soils are well
saturated. Northerly winds will be breezy today and tomorrow,
becoming light for the end of the week. Arctic air plunges
temperatures to well below normal mid to late week. High pressure
brings dry conditions for the end of the week and weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Slight chance of snow
                    late in the morning, then snow likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........17 at ignition...Max 18.
RH..................80 percent at ignition...Min 57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northeast at 12 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 7 to 8
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /29200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /37500 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....SCH     SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....SN      SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............17  17  17  18  18  18  18  18
RH..............80  77  77  77  77  77  73  73
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  12  10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.17  16  15  15  16  17  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.9
Transp wind dir.N   NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  16  16  17  17  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..29  31  32  36  36  38  33  28
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow in the evening
                    and overnight, then snow likely overnight.
                    Chance of snow after 3 am.
CWR.................99 percent decreasing to 26 percent.
Temperature.........Min 11.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 8 mph early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13500 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............90  90  100 100 100 90  90  80  70  60  40  30
Temp............18  18  16  16  15  15  15  15  15  14  14  13
RH..............73  70  80  84  88  84  88  84  84  88  84  84
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  12  10  10  10  10  10  9   10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.20  21  21  22  22  22  22  22  21  21  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  18  21  20  20  18  18  18  20  18  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22  20  23  26  24  23  21  21  21  22  17  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    flurries.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 21.
RH..................Min 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (49100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC             CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....SW              SW  SW  SW  SN  SN  SN  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............11  11  13  15  17  18  19  20  21  21  20  20
RH..............91  90  85  80  77  77  76  73  72  72  69  68
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.18  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  18  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.3 2.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  18  17  16  15  15  15  16  17  17  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  16  24  30  33  36  39  43  48  49  42  30
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR

$$
Forecaster...WITTEN
Requested by...Benjamin Schmall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503173.0/PAH
.DELDT 02/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin_schmall@fws.gov