607
FNUS73 KPAH 071424
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Area 6 Piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
824 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on November 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure is building in today, with drier and cooler
conditions this afternoon into Friday and lower relative
humidity. Smoke dispersion will remain poor due to light northerly
transport winds and lower mixing heights.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................72 percent at ignition...Min 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds north at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /19900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /28900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  57  58  60  60  60  61  58
RH..............72  72  67  64  64  64  62  67
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  13  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.13  12  13  12  13  13  13  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20  21  25  24  27  29  26  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MCR PC  MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  55  51  50  48  49  48  47  47  46  45  44
RH..............72  74  86  86  93  86  89  86  86  86  89  89
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.12  12  10  9   9   8   7   8   8   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  N
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  14  13  9   9   10  10  10  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   10  10  16  15  4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............44     48     56     62     64     62
RH..............89     80     64     52     46     50
20 FT wind dir..NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd..5      6      8      9      9      7
20 FT wind gust.9      12     13     14     14     13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4    0.6    1.3    2.0    2.3    1.6
Transp wind dir.NE     NE     E      E      E      NE
Transp wind spd.10     9      13     14     14     12
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4      4      14     25     27     16
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...TREVINO
Requested by...Ben Schmall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426019.0/PAH
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin_schmall@fws.gov