Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
580
FNUS73 KPAH 311155
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Blue Spring Branch Grass...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Paducah KY
655 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on August 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Strong high pressure will provide hot and dry conditions for the
spot forecast area today. Mixing heights will just be topping the
critical 1700 FT AGL threshold at ignition time, on their way to
mid afternoon peaks above 5000 FT AGL. Winds around the surface
high centered just to our east will be south to southwest thru
the burn.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........83 at ignition...Max 95.
RH..................65 percent at ignition...Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /21600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /59600 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............83  87  90  92  94  95  95  94
RH..............65  59  52  49  44  43  43  44
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.14  15  15  14  13  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 3.3 4.3 4.9 5.4 5.2 5.7 5.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.14  16  16  14  13  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22  47  60  59  60  52  57  50
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 73.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............93  90  86  83  81  80  78  78  77  77  76  75
RH..............47  52  59  65  69  69  74  74  74  74  76  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   8   10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  9   10  10  10  12  12  12  13  10  10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20  4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 96.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (63600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  73  76  80  85  89  92  94  95  96  96  95
RH..............82  84  79  74  65  57  51  48  45  43  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   3   3   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.6 4.5 5.9 6.6 7.6 8.0 6.8 6.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  12  12  10  9   8   9   9   9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   3   7   15  26  40  47  46  61  64  54  53
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...WFO PADUCAH
Requested by...Anthony B King
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2620974.0/PAH
.DELDT 08/31/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Anthony.King@mdc.mo.gov