Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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500
FNUS53 KPAH 150721
FWFPAH

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Paducah KY
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid today with a south wind becoming gusty in the
afternoon. Dispersion should be fair to good. Thunderstorms
may form in the late afternoon and overnight. Another hot
humid day with gusty south winds is forecast Friday with
a good chance of showers and storms. A front clears the
area Saturday morning before storminess returns late Sunday
through the middle of the week.


MOZ098-100-106>108-152115-
Shannon-Wayne MO-Oregon-Carter-Ripley-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           50           80
High Temperature(F)   86-90                     84-88
Minimum RH(%)         48-53                     54-59
Low Temperature(F)                 60-64
Maximum RH(%)                      90-95
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+7)      61 (-7)      87
RH % (24h trend)      51 (-29)     93 (-4)      57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G24    Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 5-9 G25   Lgt/Var      SW 6-10 G28
Precip Amount         0.11         0.00         0.20
Precip Duration       1            2            5
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   7 AM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 980                       1320
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3200                      4320
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     80                        78
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 17                     SW 26
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  9                     SW 13
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8820                      17160
Dispersion Index      Fair                      Very good
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ076-086-087-152115-
Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           70
High Temperature(F)   85-89                     84-88
Minimum RH(%)         52-57                     54-59
Low Temperature(F)                 62-66
Maximum RH(%)                      90-95
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+7)      63 (-5)      87
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-12)     93 (-2)      57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 7-11 G25   SW 6-10 G23  S 6-10 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 10-14 G26 Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G28
Precip Amount         0.12         0.01         0.40
Precip Duration       1            2            5
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   7 AM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 920                       1220
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3010                      4010
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     79                        79
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 20                     SW 26
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 10                     SW 13
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9200                      15860
Dispersion Index      Fair                      Very good
DSI                   STBL                      SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ109>112-114-152115-
Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           70
High Temperature(F)   84-88                     83-87
Minimum RH(%)         51-56                     57-62
Low Temperature(F)                 66-70
Maximum RH(%)                      88-93
Temp (24h trend)      87 (+4)      66 (-5)      86
RH % (24h trend)      54 (-15)     91 (+3)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 9-13 G28   SW 6-10 G21  SW 7-11 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 11-15 G28 SW 3-7 G17   SW 12-16 G31
Precip Amount         0.21         0.04         0.25
Precip Duration       1            2            5
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1020                      1250
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3340                      4090
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     81                        80
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 22                     SW 27
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     SW 14
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 11220                     17500
Dispersion Index      Good                      Very good
DSI                   STBL                      SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ084-085-088-089-092-093-152115-
Jackson-Williamson-Union IL-Johnson-Alexander-Pulaski-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           70
High Temperature(F)   86-90                     84-88
Minimum RH(%)         53-58                     55-60
Low Temperature(F)                 64-68
Maximum RH(%)                      89-94
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+6)      65 (-4)      87
RH % (24h trend)      56 (-6)      92 (+1)      58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 7-11 G25   SW 5-9 G23   S 5-9 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G27  Lgt/Var      SW 10-14 G28
Precip Amount         0.12         0.01         0.47
Precip Duration       1            2            5
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 940                       1210
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3080                      3980
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     78                        79
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 21                     SW 26
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     SW 13
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10340                     15730
Dispersion Index      Good                      Very good
DSI                   STBL                      SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ086-087-090-091-094-152115-
Saline-Gallatin-Pope-Hardin-Massac-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           70
High Temperature(F)   86-90                     84-88
Minimum RH(%)         49-54                     52-57
Low Temperature(F)                 65-69
Maximum RH(%)                      86-91
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+6)      67 (-2)      87
RH % (24h trend)      52 (-1)      89 (+5)      55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G24   SW 5-9 G23   SW 4-8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G26  Lgt/Var      SW 8-12 G27
Precip Amount         0.19         0.01         0.46
Precip Duration       0            2            5
Precip Begin          4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 970                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3180                      3940
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     77                        80
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 22                     SW 28
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     SW 14
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10670                     16800
Dispersion Index      Good                      Very good
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ075>078-080>083-152115-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           70
High Temperature(F)   86-90                     84-88
Minimum RH(%)         52-57                     49-54
Low Temperature(F)                 63-67
Maximum RH(%)                      84-89
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+6)      64 (-4)      87
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-1)      87 (-2)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 7-11 G24   SW 6-10 G24  SW 5-9 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 10-14 G26 Lgt/Var      SW 10-14 G27
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         1.00
Precip Duration       1            2            5
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   7 AM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 980                       1240
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3210                      4080
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     78                        78
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 21                     SW 23
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     SW 12
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10780                     14880
Dispersion Index      Good                      Good
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-152115-
Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Webster-
Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025 /321 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           70
High Temperature(F)   87-91                     84-88
Minimum RH(%)         52-57                     55-60
Low Temperature(F)                 66-70
Maximum RH(%)                      86-91
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+7)      67 (-2)      87
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-3)      89 (+1)      58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G21   SW 6-10 G21  SW 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G24  SW 4-8       SW 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.51
Precip Duration                    2            6
Precip Begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1040                      1340
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3420                      4390
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     78                        80
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 20                     SW 26
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 10                     SW 13
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10400                     17420
Dispersion Index      Good                      Very good
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs
in the upper 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

KYZ010>013-016-017-021-022-152115-
Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-Muhlenberg-Todd-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           70
High Temperature(F)   86-90                     82-86
Minimum RH(%)         52-57                     59-64
Low Temperature(F)                 67-71
Maximum RH(%)                      88-93
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+7)      69 (0)       86
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-6)      91 (+5)      62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G21   SW 5-9 G19   SW 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G24  SW 3-7       SW 7-11 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.18         0.31
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 950                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3110                      3620
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     77                        81
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 20                     SW 24
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 10                     SW 12
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9500                      13200
Dispersion Index      Good                      Good
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

KYZ001>009-152115-
Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-
221 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           70
High Temperature(F)   85-89                     82-86
Minimum RH(%)         53-58                     60-65
Low Temperature(F)                 67-71
Maximum RH(%)                      88-93
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+6)      69 (-1)      86
RH % (24h trend)      56 (-9)      91 (+6)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 7-11 G27   SW 5-9 G21   SW 6-10 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G28  SW 3-7       S 9-13 G29
Precip Amount         0.23         0.13         0.32
Precip Duration       0            1            6
Precip Begin          4 PM         1 AM         Continuing
Precip End            7 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 990                       1140
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3260                      3750
1700`Mix Hgt Temp     78                        80
Transport Wnd (kts)   SW 22                     SW 27
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     SW 14
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10890                     15960
Dispersion Index      Good                      Good
DSI                   STBL                      SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$