205
FXUS63 KPAH 221748
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1248 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler and drier through Friday morning as high pressure
  passes by to the north.

- Rain chances (30-50%) return Friday into Saturday morning
  with heavy downpours possible.

- A return to hot and humid weather is expected for Sunday
  through the first half of next week with highs in the mid 90s
  and heat index values pushing into the 100-105 range.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

High pressure will linger across the Quad State through Friday
morning, bringing a break in the heat and humidity as well as the
precipitation.

The next chance of precipitation (30-50$) will arrive Friday into
Saturday as a shortwave and deeper moisture approaches from the
Plains. Precipitable water values are still forecast to jump up to
around 2 inches, which again, supports very heavy downpours. The
shortwave will then push east of the area Saturday morning, which
will allow for mainly dry conditions for the rest of the weekend.

Upper-level riding will build into the Quad State over the weekend
and for at least the first half of next week, bringing hot
temperatures (in the mid 90s) and increased humidity (dewpoints
climbing into the 70s.) The combination of the two, will lead to
heat index values pushing back up into the 100-105 degree range with
only limited chances for afternoon thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

The main issue with this TAF issuance will be lower afternoon
diurnal CU with bases around 3kft. Otherwise, winds will
generally remain fairly light with high clouds passing through
the area tonight. VFR conditions can be expected from this
evening through much of the day Thursday.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...KC