536
FXUS63 KPAH 222325
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
525 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A warming trend commences this weekend and lasts into early
  next week, followed by a chance of rain coming by mid week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 525 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Updated Aviation discussion for the 00z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

An upper level wave that is dry but producing a blanket mid deck
of cloudiness will soon depart to the east, eventually dragging
its clouds with it. That`ll clear skies for our overnight as
surface high pressure ridges across the TN Valley. Return flow
south to southwest winds will continue our warming trend tmrw,
bumping us into more seasonal 40s for highs.

Height rebounds occur with more earnest starting Monday, after
another synoptic wave makes passage along the Gulf Coast. This
results in 50s returning for highs Monday, while some 60 degree
readings enter the picture for the middle of the week. That`s
when another front approaches and introduces our next chance of
rain. This system tracks across the Great Lakes, while the cold
front trails across the Ohio River Valley, completing its
passage here Wednesday evening. It is marginal but still looks a
little too stable, with the parent wave a little too far away,
to support thunder in our forecast here, at least at this
writing.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 525 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

The TAFs are VFR. Lingering mid-level decks with bases around
7kft will exit the EVV and OWB vicinity by 02z, with only
passing high cirrus expected through the remainder of the
forecast period. Winds will be light from the S to SSW at 3-7
kts.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...DWS