398
FXUS63 KPAH 212026
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
226 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A significant warming trend commences this weekend and lasts
  into early next week, followed by a chance of rain coming by
  mid week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 215 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

Brilliant sunshine is helping melt the snowpack, and this
weekend will have warmer temperatures to further its demise.
Expect above freezing highs climbing thru the 30s tmrw, 40s
Sunday, 50s Monday, and then maybe even a few 60 degree readings
(mainly south) heading into the mid week, which is when our
next chance of rain arrives. A dry wave makes passage early this
weekend, and then another one makes passage across the lower
Mississippi Valley early next week, but we stay dry with it too.
It`s the next one that moves thru Wednesday that will have a
chance of rain attached to its approach and passage. It has
flirted with a possibility of thunder, but the 12Z modeling
suggests it`s just a little too stable, and a little too dry,
for its inclusion today; won`t be shocked if it reappears but
it`ll be an iffy/small chance if there is one at all. After
that, the 6-10 and 8-14 day both return below normal
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 215 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

Similar to last night, lingering snow cover will have to be
watched to see if some patchy fog can develop late tonight. The
chance, while not zero, is pretty low...it did not occur last
night under ideal conditions, bc of the strong dry advection.
Add to that some mid to high clouds may accompany an upper wave
as it makes dry passage during the planning phase hours of the
forecast tmrw morning; it should remain a largely if not
entirely Visual Flight Rules forecast.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$