523
FXUS63 KPAH 230455
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1055 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A warming trend commences this weekend and lasts into early
  next week, followed by a chance of rain coming by mid week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1055 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Updated Aviation discussion for the 06z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

An upper level wave that is dry but producing a blanket mid deck
of cloudiness will soon depart to the east, eventually dragging
its clouds with it. That`ll clear skies for our overnight as
surface high pressure ridges across the TN Valley. Return flow
south to southwest winds will continue our warming trend tmrw,
bumping us into more seasonal 40s for highs.

Height rebounds occur with more earnest starting Monday, after
another synoptic wave makes passage along the Gulf Coast. This
results in 50s returning for highs Monday, while some 60 degree
readings enter the picture for the middle of the week. That`s
when another front approaches and introduces our next chance of
rain. This system tracks across the Great Lakes, while the cold
front trails across the Ohio River Valley, completing its
passage here Wednesday evening. It is marginal but still looks a
little too stable, with the parent wave a little too far away,
to support thunder in our forecast here, at least at this
writing.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1055 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

As high pressure remains positioned east of the region, light
but steady S to SSW winds of 3-8 kts will continue at the
terminals. Other than passing high cirrus clouds, skies will be
clear.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...DWS