791
FXUS63 KPAH 102328
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
628 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions will linger through the middle of next week.

- Temperatures will be near seasonal norms through Saturday
  before climbing above normal Sunday through Wednesday as high
  temperatures reach into the upper 70s and low 80s.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Updated the aviation section for the 00Z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

An omega-block`ish upper level pattern remains in place overhead
and looks to stick around for several more days. An amorphous
surface high pressure ridge centered to the northeast will wax
and wane a bit with the predominant effect of keeping surface
moisture/humidity at bay with light westerlies today becoming a
little more northwesterly - but still light - through the
weekend. Transient high clouds look to be about the only sky
factor through the weekend and into early next week.

Mid and upper level ridging at the center of the omega-block
pattern moves more overhead into early next week which should
lead to a little bit warmer afternoon temperatures and a little
bit of Pacific drawn mid-level moisture may dot the skies with a
few more clouds as temperatures warm up slightly. Pretty high
confidence in deterministic and ensemble guidance that the dry
pattern holds through day 7. This mornings 12z GFS deterministic
has a pair of closed lows breaking through and giving us a
chance at some deeper moisture return and precip by next
weekend, but the ECMWF is not as bullish on this system.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Mid-level clouds will limit fog production compared to last
night, but shallow fog is a possibility in more climatologically
favored locations near water, such as KCGI. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are forecast and winds will continue to be calm.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...ATL