389
FXUS63 KPAH 221709
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1209 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A warming trend will continue through the end of the week with
  high temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s. After a
  brief cool down this weekend, temperatures may rise 15 degrees
  above normal by early next week into the mid 80s across
  portions of the region.

- Unsettled weather returns on Thursday and continues into early
  next week. Friday afternoon into Friday evening is when the
  risk of showers and thunderstorms will be the greatest. Heavy
  downpours and lightning remains the main concern with up to an
  inch of rainfall possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 144 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

No significant changes to the NBM with the overnight forecast package
as high pressure will allow for tranquil weather conditions to
prevail through Wednesday. Patchy fog is possible early this
morning; otherwise, a prolong period of unsettled weather now looks
to hold off until Thursday and continue into early next week as
multiple shortwaves move through. Friday afternoon into Friday
evening is when the risk of showers and thunderstorms will be the
greatest as a cold front slowly pushes southeast across the FA.
Despite modest instability, the shear still looks be extremely
meager on the latest model guidance, inhibiting widespread severe
weather potential. Total rainfall up to one inch remains possible.
High temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s are progged to reach
the mid 80s across portions of the FA by early next week after a
brief cool down, running 15 degrees above normal for this time
of year.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Winds are
fairly light out of the east today with clear skies. Winds will
go light and variable overnight and will remain light and
variable. Some scattered high clouds will move in later this
evening.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DW
AVIATION...SHAWKEY