183
FXUS63 KPAH 040457
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1157 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry through the 4th of July holiday and early weekend.

- Temperatures back into the 90s through early next week.

- Unsettled weather returns Sunday onward with daily rain
  chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 148 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Upper level ridging over the Plains is slowly working its way east
by this weekend along with building sfc high pressure. We will
remain dry through the 4th of July holiday and through the early
weekend. Temperatures will be back up into the 90s through
early next week.

The ridge begins to break down by Sunday with lowering heights and a
shortwave trof passing through. This brings back precip chances
along with a front that stalls out across the area. As the sfc high
moves off to the east we get southerly return flow at the sfc
bringing back Gulf moisture. This along with general troughiness
aloft and the stalled out front will lead to daily rain chances next
week. Right now PWATs are around 2" which could lead to some heavy
rainfall at times.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

MVFR fog is still expected at KCGI, KPAH, and KMVN overnight.
Some periodic lower conditions cannot be ruled out, especially
at KMVN, but it should be rather shallow.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...DRS