923
FXUS63 KPAH 052121
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
421 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mostly dry conditions are expected Saturday with increasing
  warmth and humidity.

- Humid and unsettled weather is forecast Sunday through
  Tuesday, with showers and thunderstorms likely (50-80%) each
  day. There is a 50-70% chance of at least one inch of rain
  falling during this period.

- Drier, but hot and humid conditions will arrive Wednesday into
  Thursday. Heat index values will approach or exceed 100
  degrees.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 417 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for 00Z TAF Issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 125 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

The welcomed quiet and comfortable weather we have seen comes to
an end over the weekend. Continued southerly flow will bring a
warming trend across the area through the rest of the forecast
period. Unsettled weather arrives late this weekend and into
next week as an upper level disturbance lifts out of the
southern plains. Can`t rule out a few isolated showers or storms
on Saturday but believe much of the area will remain dry.
Higher chances for showers and storms (50-80%) arrive Sunday
into Tuesday associated with the passage of an upper trough and
diffuse frontal boundary interacting with a moist airmass. PoPs
then trend down and further east into Wednesday with mostly dry
conditions expected the rest of the week as ridging develops
aloft. Increasingly humid conditions arrive during this time as
well given the increased moisture in place. High temperatures
in the upper 80s to lower 90s will work with dewpoints in the
low to mid 70s to produce heat indices into the upper 90s to low
100s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 417 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

SCT-BKN convective rimfire bases are possible around the near
periphery of the high pressure ridge still strong enough here to
be the dominant feature controlling our weather. Return flow
southerlies pick up again tmrw, similar to today.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$