Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
953 FOUS71 KRHA 221350 FFHPA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 833 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2024 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12/24-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 241122 Z DH12/DC2411221333/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Chenango River... SHBN6 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.3 :Sherburne (8.5ft) :SHBN6md 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.9 Sherburne (9) :SHBN6mj 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.3/ 4.7 Sherburne (10.6) : Otselic River... CINN6 4.4/ 4.6/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.5 :Cincinnatus (9ft) : ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table. : Cohocton River... CMPN6 2.4/ 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.5 :Campbell (8ft) :CMPN6md 3.5/ 4.3/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 5.3 Campbell (10) :CMPN6mj 4.4/ 5.6/ 6.1/ 6.2/ 7.1 Campbell (11) : Canisteo River... WCRN6 3.2/ 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.1 :West Cameron (17ft) :WCRN6md 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.5/ 4.5 West Cameron (18) :WCRN6mj 4.4/ 5.1/ 5.7/ 6.0/ 6.1 West Cameron (21) : Towanda Creek... MONP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.7/ 4.6 :Monroeton (15.5ft) :MONP1md 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 5.4 Monroeton (17) :MONP1mj 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.6/ 5.2/ 6.9 Monroeton (18.5) : Tunkhannock Creek... TNKP1 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.4 :Tunkhannock (11ft) :TNKP1md 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.1/ 4.5/ 5.8 Tunkhannock (14) :TNKP1mj 3.4/ 4.1/ 5.0/ 5.7/ 7.5 Tunkhannock (17) : Lackawanna River... OFRP1 4.1/ 4.6/ 5.1/ 5.4/ 6.4 :Old Forge (11ft) :OFRP1md 4.7/ 5.3/ 5.9/ 6.3/ 7.5 Old Forge (13) :OFRP1mj 5.7/ 6.4/ 7.2/ 7.6/ 8.4 Old Forge (16) : DELAWARE BASIN... : East Branch Delaware River... MRGN6 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.1 :Margaretville (11ft) :MRGN6md 3.6/ 4.1/ 4.8/ 5.5/ 6.6 Margaretville (12) :MRGN6mj 4.3/ 4.9/ 5.9/ 6.9/ 8.4 Margaretville (13) : West Branch Delaware River... WALN6 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.6 :Walton (9.5ft) :WALN6md 3.6/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.7 Walton (14) :WALN6mj 5.0/ 5.6/ 5.7/ 5.8/ 6.8 Walton (16) : Beaverkill Creek... CKFN6 2.2/ 2.7/ 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.6 :Cooks Falls (10ft) :CKFN6md 4.1/ 5.3/ 6.7/ 8.0/ 8.4 Cooks Falls (16) :CKFN6mj 4.9/ 6.5/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Cooks Falls (18) : Lackawaxen River... HWYP1 4.8/ 5.5/ 5.8/ 5.9/ 6.3 :Hawley (14ft) :HWYP1md 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Hawley (20) :HWYP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Hawley (22) : : NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioga River... MFDP1 3.6/ 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.5/ 5.8 :Mansfield (12ft) :MFDP1md 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.5/ 5.2/ 6.8 Mansfield (13) :MFDP1mj 4.6/ 4.8/ 5.2/ 6.1/ 8.2 Mansfield (14) : Penns Creek... PNCP1 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.7 :Penns Creek (8ft) :PNCP1md 3.2/ 3.8/ 4.1/ 4.4/ 4.7 Penns Creek (10) :PNCP1mj 4.1/ 4.8/ 5.3/ 5.8/ 6.3 Penns Creek (12) : Frankstown Branch Juniata River... WIBP1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 3.2 :Williamsburg (12ft) :WIBP1md 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.5 Williamsburg (13) :WIBP1mj 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 4.3 Williamsburg (15) : Little Juniata River... SPKP1 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2 :Spruce Creek (8ft) :SPKP1md 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.3 Spruce Creek (10) :SPKP1mj 3.4/ 3.9/ 4.8/ 5.5/ 7.1 Spruce Creek (14) : Aughwick Creek... SLYP1 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.2 :Shirleysburg (10ft) :SLYP1md 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 4.1 Shirleysburg (12) :SLYP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Shirleysburg (20) : Sherman Creek... SMDP1 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.7/ 4.3 :Shermans Dale (9ft) :SMDP1md 3.6/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 4.4/ 5.3 Shermans Dale (11) :SMDP1mj 5.6/ 6.2/ 7.0/ 7.3/ 8.4 Shermans Dale (16) : Conodoguinet Creek... HGSP1 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.3 :Hogestown (8ft) :HGSP1md 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.2/ 5.4 Hogestown (10) :HGSP1mj 6.4/ 6.4/ 6.4/ 6.4/ 6.8 Hogestown (12) : Yellow Breeches Creek... CPHP1 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.6 :Camp Hill (7ft) :CPHP1md 4.8/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.0/ 5.5 Camp Hill (9) :CPHP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.3/ 7.5/ 8.4 Camp Hill (13) : Swatara Creek... HTVP1 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.4 :Harper Tavern (9ft) :HTVP1md 3.6/ 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.1/ 4.5 Harper Tavern (12) :HTVP1mj 4.6/ 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 6.0 Harper Tavern (15) : Conestoga River... LNCP1 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.6/ 4.1 :Lancaster (11ft) :LNCP1md 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.5/ 5.2 Lancaster (13) :LNCP1mj 4.6/ 4.7/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 6.2 Lancaster (15) : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... LGVP1 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.7 :Landingville (8ft) :LGVP1md 3.6/ 3.9/ 4.1/ 4.5/ 5.3 Landingville (12) :LGVP1mj 4.4/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.7/ 6.7 Landingville (14) : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... BREP1 4.2/ 4.5/ 5.2/ 5.6/ 6.4 :Berne (12ft) :BREP1md 5.3/ 5.6/ 6.4/ 7.1/ 8.2 Berne (14) :BREP1mj 6.3/ 6.8/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Berne (16) : Bush Kill... SHOP1 3.8/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.2/ 4.6 :Shoemakers (6ft) :SHOP1md 4.6/ 5.0/ 5.1/ 5.2/ 5.6 Shoemakers (7) :SHOP1mj 5.4/ 5.9/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.7 Shoemakers (8) : Brodhead Creek... MNSP1 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.2/ 5.5/ 6.3 :Minisink Hills(10ft) :MNSP1md 4.5/ 5.2/ 6.2/ 6.6/ 7.7 Minisink Hills(12) :MNSP1mj 5.6/ 6.5/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Minisink Hills(15) : Little Lehigh Creek... APAP1 3.4/ 3.7/ 4.2/ 5.0/ 6.2 :Allentown-10th (8ft) :APAP1md 4.4/ 4.8/ 5.4/ 6.6/ 8.4 Allentown-10th (10) :APAP1mj 5.4/ 5.9/ 6.8/ 8.0/ 8.4 Allentown-10th (12) : Perkiomen Creek... GRAP1 1.8/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2/ 4.1 :Graterford (11ft) :GRAP1md 2.2/ 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.8/ 5.0 Graterford (13) :GRAP1mj 2.8/ 3.6/ 3.9/ 5.0/ 6.8 Graterford (16) : Neshaminy Creek... LNGP1 1.6/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.3 :Langhorne (9ft) :LNGP1md 2.2/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.3/ 4.4 Langhorne (10) :LNGP1mj 2.6/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.8/ 5.3 Langhorne (12) : Chester Creek... CHSP1 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 4.4 :Chester (8ft) :CHSP1md 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.9/ 5.5 Chester (10) :CHSP1mj 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.3/ 7.9 Chester (14) : West Branch Brandywine Creek... MODP1 4.7/ 4.9/ 5.3/ 5.5/ 6.9 :Modena (9ft) :MODP1md 5.3/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.2/ 7.9 Modena (10) :MODP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0/ 8.4 Modena (12) : East Branch Brandywine Creek... DWNP1 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.7 :Downingtown (7ft) :DWNP1md 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 4.0 Downingtown (9) :DWNP1mj 3.6/ 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.2/ 5.4 Downingtown (11) : Brandywine Creek... CDFP1 1.7/ 2.2/ 2.6/ 2.7/ 3.5 :Chadds Ford (9ft) :CDFP1md 2.1/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 3.5/ 4.5 Chadds Ford (11) :CDFP1mj 2.6/ 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.3/ 5.5 Chadds Ford (13) : Christina River... CHBD1 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 3.1/ 4.7 :Coochs Brdg(11ft) :CHBD1md 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.8/ 3.8/ 5.8 Coochs Brdg(12) :CHBD1mj 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.9/ 7.9 Coochs Brdg(13) : White Clay Creek... DPKD1 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.9/ 4.2 :Delaware Pk (13ft) :DPKD1md 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.9/ 5.6 Delaware Pk (15) :DPKD1mj 3.9/ 4.1/ 4.4/ 5.5/ 8.4 Delaware Pk (16.5) : Red Clay Creek... RCCD1 2.2/ 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.3/ 4.5 :Wooddale (7ft) :RCCD1md 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.6/ 4.3/ 6.1 Wooddale (8.5) :RCCD1mj 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.5/ 5.3/ 7.9 Wooddale (10) .END UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)... .BR RHA 20241122 Z DH12/DC2411221350/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3 .B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6 : RAINFALL :IDENT 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 LOCATION :======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= ======= ================ CANN6DEL 16/ 16/ 16/ 16/ 16/ 16 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi DWNN6DEL 7/ 7/ 7/ 7/ 7/ 7 :PEPACTON-372sqmi LKWP1WPK 16/ 16/ 16/ 16/ 16/ 16 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm NVRN6NVR 6/ 6/ 6/ 6/ 6/ 6 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi .END :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... .B RHA 241122 Z DH12/DC2411221333/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages : Lackawanna River... ARHP1 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 6.1 :Archbald (8ft) :ARHP1md 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.4/ 5.3/ 7.5 Archbald (9) :ARHP1mj 4.5/ 4.6/ 5.2/ 6.3/ 8.4 Archbald (10) PKIP1 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.2/ 4.2 :Scranton (7.5ft.) :PKIP1md 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 4.4 Scranton (8) :PKIP1mj 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.9/ 5.0 Scranton (9.5) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E ARHP1 20241122 DC2411221350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 2.4/2.4/2.4/2.5/2.5/2.5/2.4/2.3 .E PKIP1 20241122 DC2411221350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 1.5/1.8/1.9/2.1/2.1/2.1/1.9/1.8 $$ NNNN