Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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Spot Forecast for Wichita 3784...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Norman OK
542 PM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on August 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Diurnally driven storms have formed along a front over Iowa Park and
surrounding areas. These storms will be capable of producing erratic
gusty winds, small hail, and heavy rainfall. Expect storms to wane around
sunset with the loss of daytime heating. Additional storms will be
possible late overnight in the form of a storm complex. Outside of
convection, winds will be light and variable.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming partly cloudy in the
                    late evening and overnight then becoming mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph overnight, then shifting
                    to the north after 3 am shifting to the west
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 14 mph shifting to the east 14
                    to 21 mph overnight, then shifting to the
                    southeast around 10 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5100-57900 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  18  15  26  30  39  35  33  51  52  56  63
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............96  93  90  86  83  81  80  79  76  75  73  72
RH..............38  41  49  55  61  67  67  69  79  82  87  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  E   NE  N   N   W
20 FT wind spd..9   9   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.16  16  13  13  13  13  10  10  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 4.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  NE  E   E   SE
Transp wind spd.12  14  13  14  14  14  13  13  21  15  14  10
VRate ktft/1000.58  56  6   6   6   6   5   6   9   6   6   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming mostly sunny in the
                    late morning and early afternoon then becoming
                    partly sunny then becoming mostly sunny late in
                    the afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Chance of showers through the day.
                    Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 6 mph shifting to the east 5
                    to 6 mph early in the morning, then shifting to
                    the west in the late morning and early
                    afternoon shifting to the north late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the morning, then gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph late in the morning,
                    then shifting to the west 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning shifting to the northwest 5 to 6
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5700-19400 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  69  57  68  47  44  38  28  54  33  38  36
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC             CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW              RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH             CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............72  70  72  74  78  81  82  83  85  87  89  89
RH..............90  100 93  90  79  72  67  65  61  55  52  52
20 FT wind dir..N   E   E   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   6   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   7   7   9   9   9   9   7   7   9   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.10  12  10  9   9   8   6   6   5   5   6   5
VRate ktft/1000.6   6   8   10  14  16  14  17  15  15  19  16

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly clear early
                    in the evening then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 7 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-19000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  43  27  23  19  21  23  25  27  29  31  31
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............90  89  87  84  80  79  77  76  75  74  73  72
RH..............50  50  57  65  74  77  82  85  87  90  93  97
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   9   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 3.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7
VRate ktft/1000.18  19  4   0   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the southeast 5 to 6 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 8 mph shifting to the west 6 to
                    7 mph in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southwest around 8 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2100-55800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  32  30  27  25  27  30  32  31  29  28  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............72  71  75  78  82  85  87  90  91  93  94  94
RH..............97  100 87  79  69  61  57  50  47  44  41  41
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  W   SW  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.5 4.9 6.2 7.4 8.2 8.5 8.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   8
VRate ktft/1000.2   3   5   8   11  17  24  31  37  41  42  56

$$
Forecaster...DAY
Requested by...seth
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519736.0/OUN
.DELDT 08/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu