Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
482
FXUS64 KOUN 170534
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1234 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

 - High heat indices persist into early next week.

 - Isolated showers/storms expected on Sunday.

 - Higher rain chances mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

Heat will persist through the the day tomorrow, especially across
the eastern third of the area. Will continue the streak of heat
advisories through tomorrow afternoon. A shortwave will move
through the ridge tomorrow, providing sufficient lift for at least
a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms across the area.
Most of us will not see any storms, as this activity will remain
isolated in nature.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

Monday will be a repeat of Sunday in terms of the heat, with the
highest heat index values remaining across portions of
southeastern Oklahoma. Additional rain chances are possible,
especially across the southwestern portions of the area.

Tuesday will be the last of the hot days before a cool down
arrives on Wednesday. There are low chances for rain throughout
the day, picking up late Tuesday night across much of the area.
Heat headlines will likely be needed across the eastern third of
the area once again Tuesday afternoon.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

A week cold front will move through the area Wednesday, providing
a cool down through the end of the week and into the weekend.
Rain chances will increase Wednesday along this boundary as it
moves through. Rain chances will shift southward through the day,
and will be possible again Thursday across the southern third of
the area. Upper 80s to low 90s are expected through the end of
week, with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s by the end of the
week.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Sat Aug 16 2025

Prevailing VFR conditions remain forecast at all terminals
through the period. Besides the return of breezy southerly winds
and a continued mix of occasional low/high-level cigs, widely
scattered convection remains the focus on Sunday. While most
terminals will have limited/nil impact, have added PROB30 mentions
at western Oklahoma and north Texas terminals given a more
focused signal in late-evening guidance of this potential. Gusty
winds and brief vis reductions would be possible beneath
thunderstorms.

Safe travels!

Ungar

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  94  75  96  75 /  10  10  10  10
Hobart OK         98  74  98  74 /  20  10  20  10
Wichita Falls TX  95  76  96  75 /  20  10  20  10
Gage OK           97  71  97  71 /  20  20  20  20
Ponca City OK     96  74  98  75 /   0  10  10  10
Durant OK         96  76  98  76 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening
     for OKZ006>008-011>013-018>020-025-026-030>032-042-043-047-
     048-051-052.

TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...09