Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
140 FXUS64 KOUN 041728 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1128 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1127 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 - Cold air arrives tonight with drizzle and cooling temperatures through daybreak. - A mix of snow and sleet is expected across western and central Oklahoma from tomorrow morning to tomorrow afternoon, with brief accumulation and travel impacts possible. && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 In the wake of the reinforcing cold front, colder air continues to filter south across the area overnight. Meanwhile, an upper shortwave across the four corners area will shift east and gradually shear out as it moves into the southern Plains toward morning. This shearing out of the wave will reduce large scale assent. However, models have been depicting frontogenesis occurring around 700MB that gradually shifts south across Oklahoma overnight into Thursday morning. This will likely result in the development of a couple frontogenetical bands of precip. We are already seeing one of those across the central and northern Panhandles into northwest Oklahoma and another is expected to set up from west Texas into southwest and central Oklahoma later tonight and continue into the middle of the day Thursday. These will likely result in some accumulations of snow and sleet in these areas. There is a Winter Weather Advisory for much of western into central Oklahoma through 3 PM Thursday afternoon for the possibility of 1 to 2 inches of accumulations of snow and sleet before the precip ends Thursday afternoon. Ground temperatures remain rather mild, in the mid/upper 40s and lower 50s, so most roadways are expected to remain wet, with potential for some light accumulations during brief periods of heavier snowfall. Otherwise, most accumulations that do occur will be confined to grassy surfaces as well as elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses. Temperatures will struggle to warm Thursday, but temperatures are expected to climb above freezing across most of the area by afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... (Thursday night through Friday night) Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Southerly winds return on Friday. That, combined with sunny skies, will allow temperatures to warm into the 50s. Dry and seasonable conditions will continue on Saturday, albeit with a bit more cloud cover. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Next week is likely mainly dry. A front on Sunday will bring a brief cooldown followed by a warming trend back to seasonable temperatures and possibly above. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1127 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Snow continues to diminish across the area, though IFR/MVFR ceilings are lingering. Expect ceilings to lift and skies to clear by this evening, with occasional high cirrus possible later tonight into Friday. Winds will become southerly tonight but remain relatively light into tomorrow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 25 49 30 52 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 24 52 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 28 58 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 22 50 24 54 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 22 49 27 51 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 30 53 35 58 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...30 SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...08