852
FXUS64 KOUN 222352
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
552 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 551 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

- Warming trend continues into next week with near to above-
  average temperatures.

- With warm, dry and breezy conditions forecast, fire weather
  concern looks to emerge by the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 205 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Compressional warming from downslope winds this afternoon will
foster high temperatures in the 50s for most locations, and into
the low 60s across western Oklahoma. Surface winds will relax some
and back to the south near sunset. Clear skies overnight will
help aid in sufficient radiational cooling for low temperatures
Sunday morning to get down to the upper 20s across the area. A
system will make its way across north Texas overnight Saturday
into Sunday, and overall precipitation chances will remain south
of the Red River.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 205 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Temperatures will continue to be on the upward trend as mid-level
ridging overspread the area from the west. The surface pattern
will continue to support both a warm airmass advecting from the
south (most of the area), and compressional warming from westerly
winds (western Oklahoma). Expect Sunday afternoon highs in the
60s, and 60s-70s on Monday afternoon. Far southwestern portions of
the forecast area could see highs on Monday approaching 80 F.
Given the cold temperatures through the month of February, the
next few days will more than make up for that cold stretch. Would
highly recommend getting out and enjoying these beautiful
temperatures!

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 240 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Near to slightly above-normal temperatures and mostly dry
conditions will be the weather theme of the period. Northwesterly
upper tropospheric flow will continue upstream of the region
through the midweek. Daily high temperatures in the 60s to 70s
appear likely for much of the week. The most "significant" day of
varied sensible impact looks to be Wednesday, when a more robust
upper system rounds of the periphery of the upper ridge (into the
Ohio/Missouri Valley. An associated (dry) frontal passage looks to
occur through the day, bringing a period of gusty north winds in
the post-frontal regime.

With no appreciable precipitation chances during the week, along
with warm and occasionally breezy conditions, concern for fire
weather looks to increase from Wednesday onward. This will
primarily focus across western Oklahoma and north Texas, where
most locations have received <1-inch of accumulated precipitation
over the last ~90+ days.

Ungar

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 551 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Winds are expected to remain under 10 knots through the upcoming
period, mostly from the south or southwest. There is some high
cloud cover in western north Texas and southern Oklahoma this
evening, but VFR conditions will prevail.

Meister

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  28  62  35  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         26  65  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  29  63  33  73 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           26  68  32  72 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     23  59  31  67 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         29  60  36  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...04