Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
928
FXUS64 KOUN 091114
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
614 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 612 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026
- Hot temperatures continue through at least mid week with triple
digit heat and at least a moderate heat risk.
- Elevated to near-critical fire weather across parts of western
Oklahoma today followed by elevated conditions Monday and
Tuesday.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 112 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026
Another day, another heat advisory. Sunday will be mostly sunny and
hot, with widespread heat indices of 101-107. Parts of western and
northern Oklahoma will get a bit of a breeze with south winds of 15
to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph.
Fire weather is expected to be elevated to near critical across
western Oklahoma, especially northwest Oklahoma, due to RH values in
the low to mid teens. With breezy south winds and ERCs near the 95th
percentile, we`ve issued a Red Flag warning for this area.
Day
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 112 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026
Heat continues into Monday and Tuesday. Heat indices will nudge
upward as moisture returns. Expect heat advisories for parts of the
area both days. Otherwise, breezy winds (15 to 20 mph in the
northwest) and sunny skies.
Elevated fire weather will be possible in northwest Oklahoma both
days due primarily to RH values in the upper teens.
Day
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 112 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026
Latest model runs are hanging onto the ridge a bit longer with MaxT
interquartile spreads not increasing until Friday (meaning higher
confidence in hot and dry through Thursday). We`re also seeing a
northward trend with the upper systems that do move through late in
the week, reducing the chances for rain and cooler temperatures
across southern parts of the forecast area.
Day
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026
VFR skies everywhere today. Winds will increase this morning and
veer to southwesterly, with a subtle shift closer to due southerly
winds occurring by early-to-mid afternoon.
Meister
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 101 76 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 104 76 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls TX 104 76 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
Gage OK 105 74 103 74 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 103 77 102 78 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 100 76 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
OKZ004>048-050>052.
Red Flag Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this
evening for OKZ004>006-009>011-014>016-021-022.
TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ083>090.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...04