Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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693 FXUS64 KOUN 220340 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 940 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 938 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 - Near-average temperatures and clear skies through Friday. - Warming up through the weekend, with no rain chances. - Next cold front arrives Sunday night with cooler temperatures behind it. && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of today and tonight) Issued at 209 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 Northwest flow aloft will continue to overspread the area through tonight. Clear skies again tonight, with weak northerly winds, will help overnight lows get to near/below freezing for most locations. Bunker && .SHORT TERM... (Friday through Saturday night) Issued at 209 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 Mid-level ridging should start to move in late Friday into early Saturday, with a slight warming trend starting Saturday. At the surface, southerly flow will start to return back to the southern Plains by Friday afternoon, but will likely not alter high temperatures too much from previous days. Widespread upper 50s to low 60s are expected. Highs on Saturday will warmer given the mid- level height rises, so we will see highs in the mid to upper 60s across the area. Bunker && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 223 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 The warmest day of the coming week will be on Sunday with a weak surface low developing off to our west. Dewpoints should only rise into the mid-50s, which will allow efficient mixing/warming. Highs in the Red River region might bump up against 80 with upper 60s to 70s across Oklahoma. The next cold front will arrive late Sunday into Sunday night. That should drop highs back to around normal during the day on Sunday. Without moisture, this will be a dry cold frontal passage. Lows behind the front will approach freezing across most of the area again. After that, uncertainty increases in model guidance, but it looks like we might see the frontal boundary slosh back and forth a few times next week. We look to remain well onto the dry side, so the forecast continues to look dry until at least Wednesday/Thursday. Meister && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 938 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Winds will be light and variable tonight into Friday morning, becoming more southerly in the afternoon but remaining light. Skies will be generally clear outside of some occasional high level cirrus. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 55 33 59 39 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 57 33 60 38 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 63 36 62 41 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 55 32 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 52 29 56 35 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 63 36 61 38 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...13 SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....04 AVIATION...08