240
FXUS64 KOUN 071913
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
213 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 206 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

- Mild and dry conditions are expected throughout the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

As of 1900UTC, a cold front was moving into southern Kansas with
air temperatures in the 60`s southward and 50`s north of the
boundary. The decaying front moves into northern Oklahoma later
this afternoon or into the early evening and then propagates
south/west late tonight before stalling from northwest Oklahoma to
central and southeastern Oklahoma.

Ahead of the boundary, winds shift predominantly to the south and
could be variable at times during the overnight hours. Clear skies
and light winds will allow for temperatures to decrease into the
mid/upper-30`s with a few areas in the low 40`s, which is about a
5-10 deg improvement from last night`s freezing temperatures.

Thompson

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

On Tuesday, the stalled frontal boundary dissipates by mid-morning
and southerly winds increase to 15-20 mph (gusts to 30 mph) for
areas along and west of I-44 as the pressure gradient tightens due
to lee-side cyclogenesis. Low-level WAA and diabatic heating will
lead to high temperatures in the 70`s.

The surface low tracks eastward over the central plains and the
associated cold front enters northwest Oklahoma mid-morning Wednesday
with breezy conditions expected. NBM seemed too warm over northwest
Oklahoma following FROPA, and therefore, we lowered high temperatures
a bit using CONSALL. Still, mild and dry conditions continue with
winds shifting to the north area-wide by late Wednesday.

Thompson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Sunday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Another dry, cold front moves through on Thursday resulting in gusty
north winds and highs mainly in the 70`s through Friday. Then, a
warming trend over the weekend as the upper ridge passes overhead
and winds shift to the south and strengthen with the formation of a
lee-side trough. Very warm on Sunday with highs in the 80s and 90s.

Thompson

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Light, somewhat variable winds and VFR conditions will prevail.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  39  71  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         38  75  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  39  75  51  85 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           37  77  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     36  73  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         42  71  50  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...01
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...14