423
FNUS76 KOTX 161507
FWSOTX

Spot Forecast for Turner...USFS
National Weather Service Spokane WA
807 AM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on July 16.
.DISCUSSION...

Hot and unstable conditions are forecast today. Chances for showers
and thunderstorms increases today and becomes more likely this
evening into tonight. Slight or isolated chances are expected through
the day, then chances increase to more likely after 1700-1900
this evening and chances continue through the evening and overnight
hours, then gradually wane through the day Friday. Some of the
thunderstorms could be strong, capable very strong and erratic
wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail.

Winds will come in from the north this morning, then
decrease this afternoon. Winds then increase again this evening
with the incoming precipitation chances, turning more south to
southeast after 2100-2300 and decreasing. Winds turn a more
northerly direction again toward early Friday with the diurnal
drainage, then increase from the south in the afternoon.

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
***************************************************************
Forecasts for 20 foot wind speeds (valleys and ridge tops) are
10 minute averages reflecting RAWS wind.
***Ventilation Index is derived from transport wind
   multiplied by the mixing height divided by 100.
   Categories: low (< 200), moderate (200-500),
   high (500-800), and very high (> 800).
***************************************************************

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....91-95.
Min humidity........20-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 to 8 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    turning northwest 2 to 4 mph after 1200.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Ventilation Index...Moderate (301) increasing to high (622) in the
                    afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of lightning.25 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........65-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    south to southeast 3 to 6 mph after 2200. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL falling to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph shifting to the north around
                    5 mph overnight.
Ventilation Index...Moderate (333) decreasing to low (23)
                    overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of lightning.35 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92-96.
Min humidity........29-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 2 to 4 mph in the morning...becoming
                    south 6 to 11 mph in the afternoon with gusts to
                    17 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected  near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Ventilation Index...Low (185) increasing to very high (809) in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MSC
Requested by...Louis Feltmann
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617474.0/OTX
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL idcdc@firenet.gov