


Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA
695 FNUS76 KOTX 220355 FWSOTX Spot Forecast for Alder Creek...USFS National Weather Service Spokane WA 855 PM PDT Mon Jul 21 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on July 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A band of showers will pass over the fire between 2100-2200 tonight and again early Tuesday morning between 0400-0600. Rainfall amounts will range from 0.01-0.10". Cumulus clouds will build Tuesday morning with a 30% chance for showers and thunderstorms between 1100-1500. Winds will largely be from the northwest, light in the morning then increasing in the afternoon and evening. High pressure builds in for Wednesday delivering warming temperatures, dry conditions and light terrain driven winds. The fire is expected to be sheltered from the upvalley winds in the Methow however any fire activity exposed to the Methow Valley could experience more of a light southeasterly wind. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms 1100-1500. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of lightning.30 percent. Max temperature.....80. Min humidity........24 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Variable to northwest winds 1 to 4 mph in the morning becoming northwest 6 to 8 mph gusts to 15 mph after 1200. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Min temperature.....56. Max humidity........75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph gusts to 16 mph in the evening decreasing after 2200 2 to 5 mph. Winds becoming downslope/downvalley 1 to 3 mph after midnight. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL falling to near surface. Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....86. Min humidity........25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Upslope/upvalley or northeast/northeast 3 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL afternoon. Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph. $$ Forecaster...SB Requested by...Justin Jones Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2518397.0/OTX .DELDT 07/21/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL justin.jones3@usda.gov