553
FXUS66 KOTX 200647
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1047 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drier overall this week with slightly above normal
  temperatures.

- Active weather returns by the end of the weekend.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
A quieter weather pattern is forecast for the upcoming week.
Temperatures will be cooler, but still above normal through the
week. A more active pattern is expected to develop by the end
of the weekend into early next week with valley rain, mountain
snow, and breezy winds.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Looking like a pretty quiet evening weather-wise across the
Inland Northwest. Some potential for fog/freezing fog
development overnight, primarily across favored valleys of
eastern WA and northern ID. By early Thursday, a disturbance
will pass mostly south of our forecast area. Still, some
limited precipitation chances are anticipated across the
Cascades , the SE Washington, and the ID panhandle south of
I-90. Zonal flow then looks to be in place for Friday into the
early portions of the weekend, followed by a passing shortwave
trough early next week. This will coincide with some increased
precip chances late Sunday and through Monday. Snow again to
be generally confined to the mountains and higher passes.
Specifically, snow levels average between 5-6kft through
Sunday, drop to around 4-5kft Sunday night night into Monday,
then between 2-3kft by Tuesday as colder air start to come in.
Daytime temps through early next week to continue to be above
normal.

As we get into the heart of the Thanksgiving holiday week,
temps are forecast to drop to near normal starting around
Tuesday. Despite cooler temperatures, holiday travel impacts to
remain mostly confined to the mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFs: A weakening cold front will move in overnight into
Thursday. Increasing moisture at low to mid levels will result
in an expanding deck of stratus. Patchy fog forming before the
front arrives may expand into KPUW, KSFF and KCOE between
10-16Z. Ceilings under the stratus cover will start out between
4-6 kft agl., but lower levels will continue to moisten through
the day on Thursday with ceilings lowering down to between 2-4
kft agl and MVFR conditions developing at KPUW/KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
through Thursday afternoon into the evening. There is a 30%
percent chance for light right at KLWS and KPUW. Chances
decrease to below 10% further north across the Spokane- Coeur
d`Alene corridor. Light upslope southwest winds in the boundary
layer will keep low stratus persisting through Thursday night.

.FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
Low confidence that fog will expand into KPUW, KSFF and KCOE
overnight. Confidence is moderate that MVFR ceilings will
develop with the stratus for KPUW/KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. Model guidance
is in good agreement with a 50-70% chance for ceilings to lower
below 3 kft agl. at these terminals by Thursday evening.
Confidence increases that ceilings lower further Thursday night
with a 40% chance that IFR conditions after 06Z. /SVH

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane
airports,please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our
webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        31  44  31  44  31  47 /   0  10   0  10  10  20
Coeur d`Alene  31  46  34  45  34  47 /   0  10  10  20  30  30
Pullman        32  42  30  45  32  48 /   0  30  10  10  10  20
Lewiston       37  47  35  48  36  51 /   0  20  10   0  10  10
Colville       26  46  27  43  30  44 /   0   0  10  20  30  30
Sandpoint      31  45  32  43  34  44 /   0  10  30  40  50  50
Kellogg        35  47  36  45  36  47 /   0  20  30  40  40  40
Moses Lake     31  47  27  43  29  45 /   0  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      35  48  32  45  36  49 /  10  10   0  10  10  10
Omak           33  47  32  43  35  44 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$