Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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884
FNUS71 KOKX 120748
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Line Road West RX...NYS Dept of Environ Conserv
National Weather Service New York NY
348 AM EDT Mon May 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure shifting offshore today will allow for generally
clear skies and light flow out of the S at around 10 mph or less.
Minimum RH values of 25-40 percent are expected today. Clouds and
moisture increase tonight with showers becoming possible, mainly
for western areas, as early as Tuesday morning. SE flow Tuesday
will be 10-15 mph with minimum RH values of greater than 60 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........58 at ignition...Max 71.
RH..................53 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south 6 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 15 to 24 mph in the afternoon.
ADI.................31 early in the morning increasing to 89 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   4   4   4   6   7   10  16  22  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  63  66  68  69  70  71  71  71  69
RH..............53  43  36  33  33  35  36  38  39  44
20 FT wind dir..110 120 140 160 160 180 180 180 190 190
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   10  10  10  11  12  12  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.4 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.3 3.9 3.2 2.4
Transp wind dir.130 140 170 190 200 220 230 230 220 220
Transp wind spd.15  16  15  15  15  16  17  21  23  24
ADI.............31  44  57  69  79  87  89  89  83  71

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph decreasing to 5 to 9 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
ADI.................49 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  29  39  35  31  27  31  35  40  44  49  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  62  59  58  57  57  56  54  53  52  52  52
RH..............50  62  72  77  80  80  83  90  93  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..200 200 200 210 210 210 210 220 220 220 220 230
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.210 210 200 210 210 210 210 220 220 220 220 230
Transp wind spd.21  16  12  9   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   5
ADI.............49  24  5   0   0   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 51 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  56  57  63  70  76  76  76  76  79  82  85
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  56  59  63  66  69  71  72  72  72  70  69
RH..............100 93  87  78  73  68  63  61  61  59  63  63
20 FT wind dir..220 200 190 180 160 150 140 140 130 130 130 130
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   5   6   7   8   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.220 200 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 180 180
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   7   8   10  12  13  13  13  12
ADI.............2   2   5   10  17  25  35  45  50  51  46  39

$$
Forecaster...MW
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513746.0/OKX
.DELDT 05/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov