410
FNUS71 KOKX 180829
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for South of Currans Unit 4...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
429 AM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure slides well offshore today, with a warm front
developing north of the area.

Marginally elevated risk for brush fire spread for the late
morning into early afternoon today as RH levels drop into the
lower to mid 30 percent range and frequent winds gusts increase
to the 20 to 30 mph range. Southerly wind gusts continue to
increase to 25 to 30 mph range mid to late this afternoon, while
RH levels increase to the 40 to 50% range. Max Temps will be near
seasonable today, in the lower 60s.

Min rhs values will further moderate into the 40 to 50 percent
range on Saturday, with southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts
25 to 35 mph. Temps will be 10 to 20 degrees above normal on
Saturday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........46 at ignition...Max 60.
RH..................51 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 6 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 22 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph increasing to southwest 28 to
                    37 mph.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 93 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  15  22  28  30  25  28  36  45  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  51  54  57  59  59  59  59  57  56
RH..............51  42  36  33  33  36  39  40  43  45
20 FT wind dir..190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 200 200
20 FT wind spd..2   4   6   7   8   10  11  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.4   6   7   14  17  18  18  21  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.190 190 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210
Transp wind spd.5   9   14  18  22  25  28  32  36  37
ADI.............2   21  45  67  82  92  93  83  66  49

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 26 to 35 mph decreasing to 18 to 25 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
ADI.................19 to 37.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  54  55  55  54  54  53  53  53  51  50  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  52  51  50  50  51  51  51  52  52  52  52
RH..............48  52  56  63  66  68  74  77  77  80  80  83
20 FT wind dir..200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 210 210 200 200
20 FT wind spd..13  12  11  11  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.22  21  20  18  18  16  16  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 210 210 200 200
Transp wind spd.35  31  26  25  25  24  24  23  22  21  18  18
ADI.............37  28  22  19  19  20  20  21  22  22  22  22

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Temperature.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 22 mph increasing to 33 to 40
                    mph.
ADI.................20 to 30.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  43  40  40  55  55  48  52  62  64  63  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  55  57  59  61  64  66  69  70  70  70  69
RH..............80  74  72  72  67  63  58  55  53  53  51  53
20 FT wind dir..210 220 220 220 230 230 230 230 230 230 220 220
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  12  13  14  14  13  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  16  21  22  23  23  22  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3
Transp wind dir.210 210 220 220 230 240 240 240 240 240 230 220
Transp wind spd.18  20  22  28  33  39  40  40  39  38  36  33
ADI.............21  20  20  23  27  29  30  30  29  29  28  27

$$
Forecaster...NV
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510925.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov