837
FNUS71 KOKX 131814
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ward Pound Ridge Prescribed Burn...Westchester County Emergency Management
National Weather Service New York NY
114 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
NW winds start out light around 5 mph, but increase to around
10 mph, gusts 15 to 20 mph. RH values will start out over 80 percent,
but quickly drop into the 50s in the afternoon. Lighter NW winds are
anticipated on Saturday morning, eventually shifting to the W by the
afternoon with RH values falling to a min around 50 percent in the
afternoon. Showers may begin to move into the area late Saturday
afternoon with rainfall developing Saturday night.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........32 at ignition...Max 46.
RH..................92 percent at ignition...Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph increasing to 22 to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 120 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  12  13  15  32  48  65  62  59  56  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  35  38  42  44  45  46  46  46  45  43
RH..............92  82  73  65  57  55  51  51  53  55  60
20 FT wind dir..290 300 300 300 310 310 310 310 310 310 310
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.10  11  13  14  14  16  16  16  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.8 3.5 5.0 5.9 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.4 5.8 4.9
Transp wind dir.290 300 310 320 320 310 310 310 310 310 310
Transp wind spd.12  14  18  22  23  24  24  26  28  28  25
ADI.............12  36  66  89  92  87  84  101 117 120 90

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 27.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph decreasing to 8 to 13
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
ADI.................49 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  44  36  28  20  17  14  11  10  10  9   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  39  37  35  34  33  32  32  31  30  29  28
RH..............65  70  75  82  82  85  85  85  85  85  88  88
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  10  8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.320 320 320 330 330 330 320 310 310 320 320 320
Transp wind spd.23  20  16  13  10  8   8   8   8   8   9   9
ADI.............49  13  2   1   4   4   3   4   3   3   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 48.
RH..................Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the southwest around 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
ADI.................6 to 37.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  16  22  28  34  44  55  66  68  70  72  79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............27  28  32  37  41  44  46  47  47  48  48  46
RH..............92  92  78  67  59  53  49  49  51  51  54  60
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 310 310 300 280 270 260 240 230 220
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.320 320 320 310 310 300 280 270 290 280 270 260
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  13  12  12
ADI.............6   9   18  27  35  36  35  31  37  33  29  23

$$
Forecaster...MW
Requested by...Matthew Kavaler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525532.0/OKX
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mak6@westchestercountyny.gov