538
FNUS71 KOKX 251053
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Jennings Creek Fire...DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
553 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0615 EST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will move across the area today. A frontal
system approaches tonight and moves through the area Tuesday
with another round of some rain.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........37 at forecast start...Max 49.
RH..................72 percent at forecast start...Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 7 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph in
                    the morning and early afternoon becoming light.
ADI.................17 to 47.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  28  22  16  10  11  12  13  24  34  45  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  37  38  39  41  43  46  49  49  49  48  46
RH..............70  72  73  73  70  65  58  54  54  56  58  63
20 FT wind dir..290 300 300 300 310 300 290 290 290 280 280 250
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   4   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8       8   10  11  10  10  8   6   6   4
ADI.............28  36  39  41  42  45  47  47  42  34  26  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles late in the evening. Slight chance of
                    rain overnight, then chance of rain after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph.
ADI.................0 to 8.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  67  72  76  81  80  79  78  81  83  86  87
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  41
RH..............67  76  76  79  82  85  85  89  92  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..200 170 170 170 170 170 160 150 150 150 150 150
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.                4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7
ADI.............8   2   0   1   3   4   5   6   7   7   8   8

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Rain in the
                    morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent increasing to 90 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 60 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 20 percent early
                    in the afternoon decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming west 5 to
                    8 mph with gusts to around 19 mph late in the
                    morning.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 138 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  90  91  93  95  78  60  43  35  27  19  15
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  90  90  90  60  60  60  20  20  20  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  44  46  48  50  52  53  55  55  54  52  49
RH..............100 100 100 100 96  93  89  80  72  66  63  63
20 FT wind dir..150 160 180 210 230 250 270 280 280 290 290 290
20 FT wind spd..5   5   4   4   4   5   6   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   8   10  11  12  14  17  19  19  19  19  16
ADI.............9   11  11  14  26  57  93  122 137 138 126 94

$$
Forecaster...DW
Requested by...Charles Kabrehl
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427095.5/OKX
.DELDT 11/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.kabrehl@dec.ny.gov