652
FNUS71 KOKX 140933
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ward Pound Ridge Prescribed Burn...Westchester County Emergency Management
National Weather Service New York NY
433 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The winds will be below 10 kt through mid morning, otherwise
winds today are expected to gust out of the NW and mainly up to
20 kt, strongest this afternoon. The winds diminish into tonight.
Minimum RH levels will range mainly from 40 to 55 percent today,
and closer to 45 to 60 percent on Saturday. No wetting rain is
expected through the day Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........34 at ignition...Max 46.
RH..................78 percent at ignition...Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest 6 to 8
                    mph with gusts to around 16 mph early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 22 to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 120 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   8   13  19  34  48  63  60  57  54  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............34  36  39  42  44  45  46  45  46  45  43
RH..............78  72  67  65  60  58  58  60  58  63  67
20 FT wind dir..290 290 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 310
20 FT wind spd..4   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   10  12  14  14  16  16  16  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.8 3.5 5.0 5.9 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.4 5.8 4.9
Transp wind dir.290 300 310 320 320 310 310 310 310 310 310
Transp wind spd.12  14  18  22  23  24  24  26  28  28  25
ADI.............12  36  66  89  92  87  84  101 117 120 90

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy frost in
                    the late evening and overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 29.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph decreasing to 8 to 13
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
ADI.................49 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  41  37  32  28  23  18  13  20  26  33  38
Weather cov.....            PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....            FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  39  38  36  35  34  33  32  31  30  30  29
RH..............73  79  79  85  89  89  92  92  96  96  92  96
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.11  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.320 320 320 330 330 330 320 310 310 320 320 320
Transp wind spd.23  20  16  13  10  8   8   8   8   8   9   9
ADI.............49  13  2   1   4   4   3   4   3   3   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy frost early in
                    the morning.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Temperature.........Max 48.
RH..................Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    south late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
ADI.................6 to 37.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  48  54  60  66  66  66  66  73  80  87  91
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............29  29  32  36  40  42  44  45  46  45  45  45
RH..............92  96  92  79  70  62  58  60  60  63  65  68
20 FT wind dir..320 320 310 300 290 280 260 250 240 210 200 200
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.4   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.320 320 320 310 310 300 280 270 290 280 270 260
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  13  12  12
ADI.............6   9   18  27  35  36  35  31  37  33  29  23

$$
Forecaster...JE
Requested by...Matthew Kavaler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525532.0/OKX
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mak6@westchestercountyny.gov